Newest

• “You And Your Research”, Hamming
• Finding Feynman’s Maze Story
• Research Ideas
• Solving Gambling Problem #14 Fast
• Why Do Hipsters Steal Stuff?
• Critical Reading: Fake Journal Club
• Looks Like You’re Taking Over The World
• June 2021 Newsletter
• ‘Screwfly Solution’ Solution
• The Math Of Hunting Lions
• CYOA AI Dungeon Proposal

Popular

• Death Note Anonymity
• Silk Road 1 Tutorial
• DNM Archives (2013–2015)
• Using Modafinil Stimulants
• Spaced Repetition Learning
• Commoditize Your Complement
• Banner Ads Considered Harmful
• The NN Scaling Hypothesis
• Generating Anime Faces
• Melancholy of Subculture Society
• Ordinary Life Improvements

Notable

• The Scaling Hypothesis
• Existential Risks & Math Errors
• Danbooru2021: Anime Dataset
• DNM Archives (2013–2015)
• Correlation ≠ Causality
• Embryo Selection For Traits
• Longevity Meta-analyses
• Spaced Repetition Learning
• Tool AIs Want To Be Agent AIs
• Internet Research Tips
• In Defense Of Inclusionism

Statistics

• Predicting Google Closures
• Judging 2012 Election Forecasts
• Google Alerts Over Time
• Modeling Fiction Review Rates
• LW EA Donations, 2013–2014
• Miscellaneous Notes
• Regression-To-Mean Fallacy
• Fermi Problem Examples
• The Math Of Hunting Lions

Meta-Science

• Why Correlation ≠ Causation
• How Often Correlation = Causation?
• Everything Is Correlated
• How To Critique Research?
• The Replication Crisis
• Leprechaun Hunting / ​Citogenesis
• Origin of Littlewood’s Law
• Does Mouse Utopia Exist?
• Hydrocephalus & IQ
• Open Questions & Topics
• Critical Reading: Fake Journal Club

Decision Theory

• Banner Ads Considered Harmful
• When Should I Check The Mail?
• My Prediction Market Trades
• Twin Power: Milk Experiment
• Candy Japan’s New-Box A / ​B Test
• A / ​B Testing CSS & HTML
• Frank P. Ramsey Papers

Order Statistics

• Gaussian Expected Maximums
• Interactive List Sorting
• Multi-Stage Selection Demo
• GoodReads Abandoned Books
• Genius Revisited School Flaws
• Leaky Pipeline / ​Log-normals
• Selection Scenarios

Crypto/​Bitcoin

• Bitcoin Is Worse Is Better
• Time-Lock Crypto
• Bitcoin Timestamps
• CO₂ Coin: Carbon Blockchain
• Trustless Trade: 2-Of-2 Nash

Dark Net Markets

• Silk Road 1 Buyers’ Guide
• DNM Archive: 2013–2015
• DNM Arrests: 2011–2015
• DNM Lifetime Census

AI: Safety

• GPT-3 & The Scaling Hypothesis
• Evolution As Learning Backstop
• Tool AIs Want To Be Agent AIs
• Complexity No Bar To AI
• Looks Like You’re Taking Over The World
• The NN Tank Urban Legend
• Hyperbolic Time Chambers & AI

Generative AI: Anime

• Danbooru2021 Anime Dataset
• PALM: Hand Detection+Crops
• Danbooru2019 Figures
• Danbooru2019 Portraits
• Anime Faces
• Anime BigGAN
• Anime NN Failures
• This Waifu Does Not Exist
• TWDNE Implementation Details

Generative AI: Fiction

• GPT-3 Poems & Fiction
• RNN poetry
• GPT-2 poetry
• GPT-3 Creative Nonfiction
• CYOA AI Dungeons
• GPT-2 Folk Music
• Preference Learning Music

Deep Learning

• Kelly Coin-Flip Game
• Machine Learning Scaling
• Efficient Transformer Attention
• The MLP / ​FC NN Rebirth
• Neural Nets Are Oversized
• The End-To-End Principle
• Project Ideas

Computer Science

• Surprisingly Turing-Complete
• Archiving URLs
• The sort --key Trick
• Internet WiFi Improvement
• The 3 Grenades
• Computers In Computers
• Choosing Software
• Computers Are Fast
• Gambling Problem #14

Haskell

• Haskell Summer Of Code
• Archiving GitHub
• Wikipedia Archive Bot
• WP RSS Archive Bot
• Resilient Haskell Software
• Evolutionary Licenses
• Elegant Run Length Coding

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Cognition

• Spaced Repetition & Learning
• Dual n-Back FAQ
• Dual n-Back Meta-Analysis
• Iodine Adult-IQ Meta-Analysis
• SMPY G&T Bibliography
• Creatine Cognition Meta-Analysis
• How Complex Human Differences?
• Anne Roe’s Elite Scientists
• Intelligence Of Portia Spiders

Psychology

• Are Sunk Costs Fallacies?
• Lithium In Drinking Water
• Conscientiousness & Online Ed
• Morning-Writing Effect
• The Collecting Mindset
• Why Do Hipsters Steal Stuff?
• Progress In Beauty
• LW Anchoring Experiment
• Ordinary Incompetence

Behavior Genetics

• Embryo Selection For Traits
• Bakewell’s Invention: Breeding
• Dog Cloning For Special Forces
• Drug Evolutionary Heuristics
• Genetics In Herbert’s Dune
• Genetics In My Little Pony
• Amusing Ourselves To Death?
• Emergenesis: Genius’ Genetics?
• Non-Gene Variance Components

Economics

• Ordinary Life Improvements
• Girl Scouts & Good Governance
• Console Insurance
• Buying Greenland
• Long Bets’s Design Problems
• Copyright Deadweight Loss
• Local Optima & Greedy Choice
• IQ / ​Income

Economics: Tech

• Commoditize Your Complement
• Timing Tech: Media Lab Lessons
• DARPA & The SCI VC Program
• The Garden Of Forking Paths
• Moore’s Law & Chip Fabs
• ‘Holy Wars’ Coordination Problem
• Startup Ideas
• Automation / ​Colonization Wave

Domestic Cats

• Cat Psychology / ​Domestication
• Cat-Caused Accidents
• Catnip Rate Meta-Analysis
• Solving Catnip POMDPs
• Catnip Breeding
• Catnip Surveys
• Why Cats Like Earwax

Practical

• Internet Search Tips
• On Having Enough Socks
• Plastination Vs Cryonics
• Vitamin D Longevity
• Falling & Head Injuries
• Bjorksten Aging Papers

Design

• Gwern.net Design
• Design Lessons Learned
• Traffic
• Sidenotes In Web Design
• Rubrication Design Examples
• Who Buys Fonts?
• On Subscripting Citations
• Use Rarer Greek Variables

QS: Sleep

• Melatonin For Sleep
• Modafinil As Stimulant
• Modafinil Use Survey
• Self-Experiments:
• Caffeine
• Potassium
• Redshift
• Vitamin D
• ZMA Mix
• Wooden Pillows
• Lunar Sleep Rhythms

QS

• Nootropics Experiments
• LSD Microdosing
• Blind Mineral Water Taste Test
• Spirulina Allergy Experiment
• Bitter Melon Blood-Glucose
• Meditation & Math Errors
• Weather & My Mood
• Treadmill Memory & Typing
• Bacopa Quasi-Experiment
• 2013 LLLT Self-Experiment
• Nicotine Stimulant

---

Politics

• Melancholy Of Subculture Society
• Terrorism Is Not About Terror
• Terrorism Is Not Effective
• Colder Wars In Space
• Parasocial Relationships Online
• Unreasonable Small Groups’ Efficacy
• Political Fashions
• Best Of Abandoned Footnotes

Epistemology

• Existential Risks & Math Errors

• Hacker Mindset: Seeing Through

• On Powerful Natural Languages

• Littlewood’s Law & The Global Media

• The Lizardman Constant

• One Man’s Modus Ponens…

• Newton’s Cosmology & Comets

• Simulation Inferences

Ethics

• The Narrowing Circle
• An Abortion Dialogue
• Immoral Books
• Justifications
• Ethicists’ Ethics

Philosophy

• Culture Is Not About Esthetics
• Ontological Pantheism
• On Disrespect
• Against The Miletians
• Copyright

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Literary Criticism

• “Story Of Your Life” ≠ Time Travel
• MLP: Immanetizing the Equestrian
• R. Scott Bakker’s Second Apocalypse
• On Gene Wolfe’s “Suzanne Delage”
• “Scanners Live In Vain” Realism
• ‘Screwfly Solution’ Solution

Anime

• The Melancholy Of Kyon
• Death Note Anonymity⁠,
• Death Note Ending
• Death Note Movie Script Authors
• Hafu Gender Ratios In Anime
• Aria’s Past, Present, & Future
• FMP Parodies

Fiction: Prose

• The Gift Of The Amygdali
• The Ones Who Walk Towards Acre
• Three Missing Cities
• The Erl King
• Men Of Iron
• Gilles Goullet, Blindsight Author
• How The Panther Got Black
• The Palace Of Wonders
• Dinosaur Comics Comics

Fiction: Verse

• Miscellaneous Poems
• Brave Poem
• Dying Outside
• Poems On Genshiken Theme
• Safecracker
• Hybrid Rainbow
• The Mulberry Tree
• The Snowbanks Of Time

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Docs

• Browse By Tag
• Bounties
• Rotten.com Library Archives
• OKCupid Statistics Blog Archives
• “Shiny Balls Of Mud”, Gibson
• “Even More Aphorisms & 10s Essays”
• “Nor The Summers As Golden”, Gene Wolfe
• “Loyal To The Group Of 17’s Story”

Docs: Science

• Radiance, Carter Scholz
• “The Iron Law Of Evaluation”
• “You And Your Research”, Hamming
• “Sanity & Survival”, Douglas Hofstadter
• “Hope Function In Fruitless Search”
• “Climb Mount Improbable”
• “The Sword Of Achilles”, Isaac Asimov
• Norvir’s Vanishing Polymorphs

Docs: Crypto

• Cryptography & P = NP, Nash1955
• Wei Dai / ​Satoshi Nakamoto Emails
• “Bitcoin’s Mysterious Inventor”
• Drugs 2.0: “Crack’s In The Post”
• Jed McCaleb / ​MtGox Interview

Docs: NGE

• Evangelion Source Anthology
• The Notenki Memoirs, Yasuhiro Takeda
• Rebuild 2.0 CRC
• “Conscience Of The Otaking”
• Michael House On Gainax
• 1996⁠, 1997 Anno Interview

Docs: Anime

• “Talk About RahXephon”
• “Yutaka Izubuchi × Anno”
• “Otaku Talk”, Okada et al 2004
• “Earth In My Window”
• “Little Boy”
• Utena 2011 Boxset Commentary
• “On The Battlefield Of ‘Superflat’”
• “Ero-Anime: Manga Comes Alive”

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Wikipedia

• In Defense Of Inclusionism
• WP & Google Knol
• WP & Google YouTube
• WP & Darkside Editing
• WP & Other Wikis
• My Wikipedia Edits

Reviews

• Anime

• Books

• McNamara’s Folly

• The Cultural Revolution

• Umineko no Naku Koro Ni

• Movies

• Operas

• Teas

Personal

• About Website
• Links / ​About Me
• Old Newsletters
• Misc Notes
• Epigrams & Humor

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