Newest

• Writing Non-Biblical Sentences

• Running Traffic Lights as Complex Disasters

• On the oldest possible food

• Rock-Paper-Scissors as game mechanic

• “A Christmas Protestation”

• Benchmarking LLM Creativity?

• Second Life Sentences

• Self-funding Harberger copyright tax

• Website Colors: Red vs Blue

• Unsorting Lists for Diversity?

• Interview with Dwarkesh Patel

Popular

• Death Note Anonymity

• Silk Road 1 Tutorial

• DNM Archives (2013–2015)

• Using Modafinil Stimulants

• Spaced Repetition Learning

• Commoditize Your Complement

• Banner Ads Considered Harmful

• The NN Scaling Hypothesis

• Generating Anime Faces

• Melancholy of Subculture Society

• Ordinary Life Improvements

Notable

• Existential Risks & Math Errors

• Danbooru2021: Anime Dataset

• DNM Archives (2013–2015)

• Correlation ≠ Causality

• Embryo Selection For Traits

• Longevity Meta-Analyses

• Spaced Repetition Learning

• Tool AIs Want To Be Agent AIs

• Internet Research Tips

• In Defense Of Inclusionism

• Why So Few Matt Levines?

Newest: Blog

[See the expanded blog index.]

Statistics

• Predicting Google Closures

• Judging 2012_13ya Election Forecasts

• Google Alerts Over Time

• Modeling Fiction Review Rates

• LW EA Donations, 2013–2014_11ya

• Miscellaneous Notes

• Regression-To-Mean Fallacy

• Fermi Problem Examples

• The Math Of Hunting Lions

• ‘CQK’ Is The First Unused TLA

Meta-Science

• Why Correlation ≠ Causation

• How Often Correlation=Causation?

• Everything Is Correlated

• How To Critique Research?

• The Replication Crisis

• Leprechaun Hunting/Citogenesis

• Origin of Littlewood’s Law

• Does Mouse Utopia Exist?

• Hydrocephalus & IQ

• Open Questions & Topics

• Critical Reading: Fake Journal Club

Decision Theory

• Banner Ads Considered Harmful

• When Should I Check The Mail?

• My Prediction Market Trades

• Twin Power: Milk Experiment

• Running Traffic Lights as Complex Disasters

• Candy Japan’s New-Box A/B Test

• A/B Testing CSS & HTML

• Frank P. Ramsey Papers

Order Statistics

• Gaussian Expected Maximums

• Interactive List Sorting

• Multi-Stage Selection Demo

• GoodReads Abandoned Books

• Genius Revisited School Flaws

• Leaky Pipeline/Log-normals

• Selection Scenarios

• Best Student Ever!

Crypto/₿

• Bitcoin Is Worse Is Better

• Time-Lock Crypto

• Bitcoin Timestamps

• CO₂ Coin: Carbon Blockchain

• Trustless Trade: 2-Of-2 Nash

Dark Net Markets

• Silk Road 1 Buyers’ Guide

• DNM Archive: 2013–2015

• DNM Arrests: 2011^–₄2015

• DNM Lifetime Census

AI: Safety

• GPT-3 & The Scaling Hypothesis

• Evolution As Learning Backstop

• Tool AIs Want To Be Agent AIs

• Complexity No Bar To AI

• Looks Like You’re Taking Over The World

• The NN Tank Urban Legend

• Hyperbolic Time Chambers & AI

Generative AI: Image

• Danbooru2021 Anime Dataset

• PALM: Hand Detection+Crops

• Danbooru2019 Figures

• Danbooru2019 Portraits

• Anime Faces

• Dropcap Generation With AI

• Anime BigGAN

• Anime NN Failures

• This Waifu Does Not Exist

• TWDNE Implementation Details

Generative AI: Fiction

• GPT-3 Poems & Fiction

• RNN poetry

• GPT-2 poetry

• GPT-3 Creative Nonfiction

• Benchmarking LLM Creativity?

• CYOA AI Dungeons

• GPT-2 Folk Music

• Preference Learning Music

• “On the Impossibility of Superintelligent Rubik’s Cube Solvers”

• “A Christmas Protestation”

• Writing Non-Biblical Sentences

Deep Learning

• Kelly Coin-Flip Game

• Machine Learning Scaling

• Efficient Transformer Attention

• The MLP/FC NN Rebirth

• Neural Nets Are Oversized

• The End-To-End Principle

• Absolute Unit NNs: Regression-Based MLPs for Everything

• Project Ideas

  • Idea: number search engine

  • InvertOrNot.com

  • novelty-net sampling

  • free-play period

Computer Science

• Surprisingly Turing-Complete

• Archiving URLs

• The sort --key Trick

• Internet WiFi Improvement

• The 3 Grenades

• Computers In Computers

• Choosing Software

• Computers Are Fast

• Gambling Problem #14

• Utext: Rich Unicode Documents

• Unsorting Lists for Diversity?

• Rock-Paper-Scissors as game mechanic

Haskell

• Haskell Summer Of Code

• Archiving GitHub

• Wikipedia Archive Bot

• WP RSS Archive Bot

• Resilient Haskell Software

• Evolutionary Licenses

• Elegant Run Length Coding

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Cognition

• Spaced Repetition & Learning

• Dual n-Back FAQ

• Dual n-Back Meta-Analysis

• Iodine Adult-IQ Meta-Analysis

• SMPY G&T Bibliography

• Creatine Cognition Meta-Analysis

• How Complex Human Differences?

• Anne Roe’s Elite Scientists

• Intelligence Of Portia Spiders

Psychology

• Are Sunk Costs Fallacies?

• Lithium In Drinking Water

• Conscientiousness & Online Ed

• Morning-Writing Effect

• The Collecting Mindset

• Why Do Hipsters Steal Stuff?

• Progress In Beauty

• LW Anchoring Experiment

• Ordinary Incompetence

• Finding Feynman’s Maze Story

• Elon Musk

• Potent Drugs As Psychological Warfare

• Why To Not Write A Book

• Why So Few Matt Levines?

Behavior Genetics

• Embryo Selection For Traits

• Bakewell’s Invention: Breeding

• Dog Cloning For Special Forces

• History of IES

• Drug Evolutionary Heuristics

• Genetics In Herbert’s Dune

• Genetics In My Little Pony

• Amusing Ourselves To Death?

• Emergenesis: Genius’ Genetics?

• Non-Gene Variance Components

Economics

• Ordinary Life Improvements

• Girl Scouts & Good Governance

• Console Insurance

• Buying Greenland

• Long Bets’s Design Problems

• Copyright Deadweight Loss

• Local Optima & Greedy Choice

• IQ/Income

• Self-funding Harberger copyright tax

Economics: Tech

• Commoditize Your Complement

• Timing Tech: Media Lab Lessons

• DARPA & The SCI VC Program

• The Garden Of Forking Paths

• Moore’s Law & Chip Fabs

• ‘Holy Wars’ Coordination Problem

• Startup Ideas

• Automation/Colonization Wave

Domestic Cats

• Cat Psychology/Domestication

• Cat-Caused Accidents

• Catnip Rate Meta-Analysis

• Solving Catnip POMDPs

• Catnip Breeding

• Catnip Surveys

• Why Cats Like Earwax

• Catitecture: Better Cat Window Boxes

Practical

• Internet Search Tips

• On Having Enough Socks

• Plastination Vs Cryonics

• Vitamin D Longevity

• Falling & Head Injuries

• Bjorksten Aging Papers

• Oldest possible food

Design

• Gwern.net Design

• Design Lessons Learned

• Traffic

• Feature test page

• Sidenotes In Web Design

• Rubrication Design Examples

• Who Buys Fonts?

• On Subscripting Citations

• Use Rarer Greek Variables

• Twitter Follow-UX Problems

• Website Colors: Red vs Blue

QS: Sleep

• Melatonin For Sleep

• Modafinil As Stimulant

• Modafinil Use Survey

• Self-Experiments:

• Caffeine

• Potassium

• Redshift

• Vitamin D

• ZMA Mix

• Wooden Pillows

• Lunar Sleep Rhythms

QS

• Nootropics Experiments

• LSD Microdosing

• Blind Mineral Water Taste Test

• Spirulina Allergy Experiment

• Bitter Melon Blood-Glucose

• Meditation & Math Errors

• Weather & My Mood

• Treadmill Memory & Typing

• Bacopa Quasi-Experiment

• 2013 LLLT Self-Experiment

• Acne: a good QS topic

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Politics

• Melancholy Of Subculture Society

• Terrorism Is Not About Terror

• Terrorism Is Not Effective

• Colder Wars In Space

• Parasocial Relationships Online

• Unreasonable Small Groups’ Efficacy

• Political Fashions

• Best Of Abandoned Footnotes

Epistemology

• Existential Risks & Math Errors

• Hacker Mindset: Seeing Through

• On Powerful Natural Languages

• Littlewood’s Law & The Global Media

• The Lizardman Constant

• One Man’s Modus Ponens…

• Newton’s Cosmology & Comets

• Simulation Inferences

Ethics

• The Narrowing Circle

• An Abortion Dialogue

• Immoral Books

• Justifications

• Ethicists’ Ethics

Philosophy

• Culture Is Not About Esthetics

• Ontological Pantheism

• On Disrespect

• Impossibility of Knowledge of Retrocognitive Knowledge

• Against The Miletians

• Copyright

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Literary Criticism

• Time Travel:

• “Story Of Your Life” ≠ Time Travel

• R. Scott Bakker’s Second Apocalypse

• Timecrimes review: Time Travel In Hell

• MLP: Immanetizing the Equestrian

• Wolfe’s “Suzanne Delage” is Dracula

• “Scanners Live In Vain” Realism

• ‘Screwfly Solution’ Solution

Anime

• The Melancholy Of Kyon

• Death Note Anonymity,

• Death Note Ending

• Death Note Movie Script Authors

• Hafu Gender Ratios In Anime

• Aria’s Past, Present, & Future

• FMP Parodies

• On Development Hell

• How OVAs worked

• Why ugly Western animation?

Fiction: Prose

• The Gift Of The Amygdali

• The Ones Who Walk Towards Acre

• Three Missing Cities

• The Erl King

• Men Of Iron

• The Diamond Earrings

• Gilles Goullet, Blindsight Author

• How The Panther Got Black

• The Palace Of Wonders

• Dinosaur Comics Comics

Fiction: Verse

• Miscellaneous Poems

• Brave Poem

• Dying Outside

• Poems On Genshiken Theme

• Safecracker

• Hybrid Rainbow

• The Mulberry Tree

• The Snowbanks Of Time

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Docs

• Browse By Tag

• Bounties

• Rotten.com Library Archives

• OKCupid Statistics Blog Archives

• “Shiny Balls Of Mud”, Gibson

• “Even More Aphorisms & 10s Essays”

• “Nor The Summers As Golden”, Gene Wolfe

• “Loyal To The Group Of 17’s Story”

Docs: Science

• Radiance, Carter Scholz

• “The Iron Law Of Evaluation”

• “You And Your Research”, Hamming

• “Sanity & Survival”, Douglas Hofstadter

• “Hope Function In Fruitless Search”

• “Climb Mount Improbable”

• “The Sword Of Achilles”, Isaac Asimov

• Norvir’s Vanishing Polymorphs

Docs: Crypto

• Cryptography & P=NP, Nash1955

• Wei Dai/Satoshi Nakamoto Emails

• “Bitcoin’s Mysterious Inventor”

• Drugs 2.0: “Crack’s In The Post”

• Jed McCaleb/MtGox Interview

Docs: NGE

• Evangelion Source Anthology

• The Notenki Memoirs, Yasuhiro Takeda

• Rebuild 2.0 CRC

• “Conscience Of The Otaking”

• Michael House On Gainax

• 1996, 1997 Anno Interview

Docs: Anime

• “Talk About RahXephon”

• “Yutaka Izubuchi × Anno”

• “Otaku Talk”, Okada et al 2004

• “Earth In My Window”

• “Little Boy”

• Utena 2011_14ya Boxset Commentary

• “On The Battlefield Of ‘Superflat’”

• “Ero-Anime: Manga Comes Alive”

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Wikipedia

• In Defense Of Inclusionism

• WP & Google Knol

• WP & Google YouTube

• WP & Darkside Editing

• WP & Other Wikis

• My Old WP Edits

Reviews

• Anime

• The Tale of the Princess Kaguya review

• The Last Unicorn review

• Space Battleship Yamato review

• Books

• McNamara’s Folly

• The Cultural Revolution

• Umineko no Naku Koro Ni

• The Quantum Thief review

• Movies

• Crumb review

• The Bridge

• Operas

• Teas

Personal

• About Website

• Links/About Me

• Interview with Dwarkesh Patel

• Old Newsletters

• Misc Notes

• Epigrams & Humor

• Second life sentences