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Bayes tag

See Also


“Regression To The Mean Fallacies”, Gwern 2021

“Regression To The Mean Fallacies”

“The Most ‘Abandoned’ Books on GoodReads”, Gwern 2019

“The Most ‘Abandoned’ Books on GoodReads”

“How Should We Critique Research?”, Gwern 2019

“How Should We Critique Research?”

“Fermi Calculation Examples”, Gwern 2019

“Fermi Calculation Examples”

“Frank P. Ramsey Bibliography”, Gwern 2019

“Frank P. Ramsey bibliography”

“Evolution As Backstop for Reinforcement Learning”, Gwern 2018

“Evolution as Backstop for Reinforcement Learning”

“ZMA Sleep Experiment”, Gwern 2017

“ZMA Sleep Experiment”

“Self-Blinded Mineral Water Taste Test”, Gwern 2017

“Self-Blinded Mineral Water Taste Test”

“Banner Ads Considered Harmful”, Gwern 2017

“Banner Ads Considered Harmful”

“The Explore-Exploit Dilemma in Media Consumption”, Gwern 2016

“The Explore-Exploit Dilemma in Media Consumption”

“Candy Japan’s New Box A/B Test”, Gwern 2016

“Candy Japan’s new box A/B test”

“Embryo Editing for Intelligence”, Gwern 2016

“Embryo editing for intelligence”

“Calculating The Gaussian Expected Maximum”, Gwern 2016

“Calculating The Gaussian Expected Maximum”

“World Catnip Surveys”, Gwern 2015

“World Catnip Surveys”

“Catnip Immunity and Alternatives”, Gwern 2015

“Catnip immunity and alternatives”

“Bitter Melon for Blood Glucose”, Gwern 2015

“Bitter Melon for blood glucose”

“Resorting Media Ratings”, Gwern 2015

“Resorting Media Ratings”

“When Should I Check The Mail?”, Gwern 2015

“When Should I Check The Mail?”

“Life Extension Cost-Benefits”, Gwern 2015

“Life Extension Cost-Benefits”

“Everything Is Correlated”, Gwern 2014

“Everything Is Correlated”

“Statistical Notes”, Gwern 2014

“Statistical Notes”

“Why Correlation Usually ≠ Causation”, Gwern 2014

“Why Correlation Usually ≠ Causation”

“How Often Does Correlation=Causality?”, Gwern 2014

“How Often Does Correlation=Causality?”

“Bacopa Quasi-Experiment”, Gwern 2014

“Bacopa Quasi-Experiment”

“Magnesium Self-Experiments”, Gwern 2013

“Magnesium Self-Experiments”

“Caffeine Wakeup Experiment”, Gwern 2013

“Caffeine wakeup experiment”

“Potassium Sleep Experiments”, Gwern 2012

“Potassium sleep experiments”

“2012 Election Predictions”, Gwern 2012

“2012 election predictions”

“Biased Information As Anti-information”, Gwern 2012

“Biased information as anti-information”

“One Man’s Modus Ponens”, Gwern 2012

“One Man’s Modus Ponens”

“Vitamin D Sleep Experiments”, Gwern 2012

“Vitamin D sleep experiments”

“Charity Is Not about Helping”, Gwern 2011

“Charity is not about Helping”

“Death Note: L, Anonymity & Eluding Entropy”, Gwern 2011

“Death Note: L, Anonymity & Eluding Entropy”

“Zeo Sleep Self-experiments”, Gwern 2010

“Zeo sleep self-experiments”

“Nootropics”, Gwern 2010


“Who Wrote The Death Note Script?”, Gwern 2009

“Who Wrote The Death Note Script?”

“Prediction Markets”, Gwern 2009

“Prediction Markets”