January 2024 News
January 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2024’s Gwern.net newsletter is now out; previous, December 2023 (archives). This is a collation of links and summary of major changes, overlapping with my Changelog; brought to you by my donors on Patreon.
Writings
Links
AI
“Defining and Characterizing Reward Hacking”, et al2022
“Comparison of Waymo Rider-Only Crash Data to Human Benchmarks at 7.1 Million Miles”, et al2023
RL IRL: on Google Search use of ranking & preference-learning 2015–42019
“PIGEON: Predicting Image Geolocations”, et al2023 (a much better PlaNet—it beat Rainbolt!)
“Bridging the Human-AI Knowledge Gap: Concept Discovery and Transfer in AlphaZero”, et al2023 (human GMs can learn from AZ… but remain far inferior)
“Large-scale statistical forecasting models reassess the unpredictability of chaotic systems”, 2023
“Computer Backgammon”, Hans J. 1980 (“BKG 9.8 is the first computer program to defeat a world champion at any board or card game”); “Marvin Minsky’s Vision of the Future”, 1981
“The Manga Whisperer: Automatically Generating Transcriptions for Comics”, 2024
“Making Amulets with LLaMA-2”, Blackle Mori
“Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI”, et al2024 (dropping timelines)
“Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that Persist Through Safety Training”, et al2024 (larger models better at hiding backdoors from safety training)
“Generative Multimodal Models are In-Context Learners”, et al2023
“Large Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Use Tools”, et al2023 (API/
tool-use emerges ~0.8b-parameters) “Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spaces”, 2023: Attention-free models scale poorly at in-context recall/
induction (et al2023), which is mostly why Transformers beat them“ByteDance is secretly using OpenAI’s tech to build a competitor” (why is it so hard for competing LLMs to surpass GPT-3.5/
4? maybe because they are lying about being based on it) “CommonCanvas: An Open Diffusion Model Trained with Creative-Commons Images”, et al2023
“Character-Aware Models Improve Visual Text Rendering”, et al2022 (ByT5 vs T5 vs PaLM demonstrates BPEs are responsible for screwed-up text in images; PaLM’s scale can solve common spelling by memorization, but not generalize—creating the illusion of a solution)
“What’s Hidden in a Randomly Weighted Neural Network?”, et al2019 (even random nets contain, with increasing probability in size, an accurate sub-net)
Genetics
Everything Is Heritable:
“Shared genetic architectures of educational attainment in East Asian and European populations”, et al2024
Recent Evolution:
“Genetic variants underlying human bisexual behavior are reproductively advantageous”, 2024
“Elevated genetic risk for multiple sclerosis emerged in steppe pastoralist populations”, et al2024
Engineering:
“Concordance of whole-genome amplified embryonic DNA with the subsequently born child”, et al2024
“AAV1-hOTOF gene therapy for autosomal recessive deafness 9: a single-arm trial”, et al2024; “Gene Therapy Allows an 11-Year-Old Boy to Hear for the First Time: The genetic treatment targeted a particular kind of congenital deafness and will soon be tried in children who are younger”
Statistics/Meta-Science
“Laboratory-acquired infections and pathogen escapes worldwide 2000–212021: a scoping review”, et al2023
“Making the Micropipette”, Metacelsus
“Cracking the Code of Linear B”, Theodore Nash
“Projecting complete redaction of clinical trial protocols (RAPTURE): redacted cross sectional study”, ███████ et al 20██
“Behind The Scenes: The Struggle For Each Paper”, Jeff Huang (2 decades of CS/
HCI research) “Possible Bubbles of Spacetime Curvature in the South Pacific”, 2012
“Solar Eclipses and the Origins of Critical Thinking and Complexity”, Litina & 2023 (astronomy as the training wheels of Science?)
Politics/Religion
“Liberal Visions and Boring Machines: The Early History of the Channel Tunnel”
“Economic Consequences of Kinship: Evidence From U.S. Bans on Cousin Marriage”, et al2023
“Notes on the Ivory Coast”, Matt Lakeman
“Is white always the standard? Using replication to revisit and extend what we know about the leadership prototype”, 2023 (a pre-registered failure to replicate pro-white-leader bias & evidence of anti-white-leader bias)
Psychology/Biology
“Randomized Trial of Ketamine Masked by Surgical Anesthesia in Depressed Patients”, et al2023
“High associative neuron numbers could drive cognitive performance in corvid species”, et al2022; “An energy costly architecture of neuromodulators for human brain evolution and cognition”, et al2023; “Gene purging and the evolution of Neoave [bird] metabolism and longevity”, et al2023; “Tempo and Pattern of Avian Brain Size Evolution”, et al2020
“The value of information gathering in phage-bacteria warfare”, et al2024
“Fetching felines: a survey of cat owners on the diversity of cat (Felis catus) fetching behavior”, et al2023
“How This Marine Worm Can Tell Moonglow From Sunbeams” (a clever solution: have a light-sensitive protein which is extremely fragile)
“The Woman Who Spent Five Hundred Days in a Cave: Beatriz Flamini liked to be alone so much that she decided to live underground—and pursue a world record. The experience was gruelling and surreal.” (contrary to the initial press conference, she suffered severe mental & physical health issues)
“Nail Growth: 35 Years of Observation”, 1980; “Effects of Sexual Activity on Beard Growth in Man”, 1970
Technology
“Ultraviolet light can kill almost all the viruses in a room. Why isn’t it everywhere?”
“Building Apollo: A review of Angle of Attack: Harrison Storms and the Race to the Moon” (project management)
“Artificial Molecular Machines”, Erbas-et al2015
“Plants Find Light Using Gaps Between Their Cells” (unexpected way to compute phototropism)
“Thanks to This Man, Airplanes Don’t Crash Into Mountains Anymore: Don Bateman’s terrain mapping device has nearly eliminated the largest cause of death in jetliner accidents” (initially using USSR global terrain maps bought on the Russian blackmarket)
“The World’s Fastest Road Cars—and the People Who Drive Them”
“Chaffing and winnowing”: cryptography without encryption
“Non-detection of the Tooth Fairy at Optical Wavelengths”, 2012
Economics
“Lay economic reasoning: An integrative review and call to action”, 2024
“Does alleviating poverty increase cognitive performance? Short-term & long-term evidence from a randomized controlled trial”, et al2023 (no); “Cognitive Biases: Mistakes or Missing Stakes?”, et al2023
“Can Rock Dust Soak Up Carbon Emissions? A Giant Experiment Is Set to Find Out”
“The Tremendous Yet Troubled State of Gaming in 2024”, Matthew Ball
Philosophy
Fiction
“The Names of the Hare”, Anonymous (translated 1982; see 1933 for etymology)
“SAURON, Mount Doom, and Elvish Moths: The Influence of Tolkien on Modern Science”, 2007
The first successful AMV: Steamboat Willie (“Turkey in the Straw”+click tracks)
“Cannibalism in the Cars”, Mark 1868
“I Found David Lynch’s Lost Dune II Script” in the Frank Herbert university archives, Andy Greenberg
Books
Fiction:
Film/TV
Live-action:
Animated:
Isle of Dogs (2018)
“CHAIR”, Hiroshi Mori (200025ya)