January 2024 News
January 2024 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2024’s Gwern.net newsletter is now out; previous, December 2023 (archives). This is a collation of links and summary of major changes, overlapping with my Changelog; brought to you by my donors on Patreon.
Writings
Links
AI
“Defining and Characterizing Reward Hacking”, Skalse et al 2022
“Comparison of Waymo Rider-Only Crash Data to Human Benchmarks at 7.1 Million Miles”, Kusano et al 2023
RL IRL: on Google Search use of ranking & preference-learning 2015–42019
“Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency”, Varma et al 2023
“PIGEON: Predicting Image Geolocations”, Haas et al 2023 (a much better PlaNet—it beat Rainbolt!); “Evaluating Precise Geolocation Inference Capabilities of Vision Language Models”, Jay et al 2025
“Bridging the Human-AI Knowledge Gap: Concept Discovery and Transfer in AlphaZero”, Schut et al 2023 (human GMs can learn from AZ… but remain far inferior)
“Large-scale statistical forecasting models reassess the unpredictability of chaotic systems”, Gilpin 2023
“Computer Backgammon”, Hans J. Berliner 1980 (“BKG 9.8 is the first computer program to defeat a world champion at any board or card game”); “Marvin Minsky’s Vision of the Future”, Bernstein 1981
“The Manga Whisperer: Automatically Generating Transcriptions for Comics”, Sachdeva & Zisserman 2024
“Making Amulets with LLaMA-2”, Blackle Mori
“Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI”, Grace et al 2024 (dropping timelines)
“Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that Persist Through Safety Training”, Hubinger et al 2024 (larger models better at hiding backdoors from safety training)
“Generative Multimodal Models are In-Context Learners”, Sun et al 2023
“Large Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Use Tools”, Schick et al 2023 (API/tool-use emerges ~0.8b-parameters)
“Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spaces”, Gu & Dao 2023: Attention-free models scale poorly at in-context recall/induction (Arora et al 2023), which is mostly why Transformers beat them
“ByteDance is secretly using OpenAI’s tech to build a competitor” (why is it so hard for competing LLMs to surpass GPT-3.5/4? maybe because they are lying about being based on it)
“CommonCanvas: An Open Diffusion Model Trained with Creative-Commons Images”, Gokaslan et al 2023
“Character-Aware Models Improve Visual Text Rendering”, Liu et al 2022 (ByT5 vs T5 vs PaLM demonstrates BPEs are responsible for screwed-up text in images; PaLM’s scale can solve common spelling by memorization, but not generalize—creating the illusion of a solution)
“What’s Hidden in a Randomly Weighted Neural Network?”, Ramanujan et al 2019 (even random nets contain, with increasing probability in size, an accurate sub-net)
Genetics
Everything Is Heritable:
“Shared genetic architectures of educational attainment in East Asian and European populations”, Chen et al 2024
Recent Evolution:
“Genetic variants underlying human bisexual behavior are reproductively advantageous”, Song & Zhang 2024
“Elevated genetic risk for multiple sclerosis emerged in steppe pastoralist populations”, Barrie et al 2024
Engineering:
“Concordance of whole-genome amplified embryonic DNA with the subsequently born child”, Li et al 2024
“AAV1-hOTOF gene therapy for autosomal recessive deafness 9: a single-arm trial”, Lv et al 2024; “Gene Therapy Allows an 11-Year-Old Boy to Hear for the First Time: The genetic treatment targeted a particular kind of congenital deafness and will soon be tried in children who are younger”
Statistics/Meta-Science
“The Usefulness of Useless Knowledge”, Flexner 1939
“Laboratory-acquired infections and pathogen escapes worldwide 2000–212021: a scoping review”, Blacksell et al 2023
“Making the Micropipette”, Metacelsus
“Cracking the Code of Linear B”, Theodore Nash
“Projecting complete redaction of clinical trial protocols (RAPTURE): redacted cross sectional study”, ███████ et al 20██
“Behind The Scenes: The Struggle For Each Paper”, Jeff Huang (2 decades of CS/HCI research)
“Possible Bubbles of Spacetime Curvature in the South Pacific”, Tippett 2012
“Solar Eclipses and the Origins of Critical Thinking and Complexity”, Litina & Fernández 2023 (astronomy as the training wheels of Science?)
Politics/Religion
“Liberal Visions and Boring Machines: The Early History of the Channel Tunnel”
“Economic Consequences of Kinship: Evidence From U.S. Bans on Cousin Marriage”, Ghosh et al 2023
“Notes on the Ivory Coast”, Matt Lakeman
“Is white always the standard? Using replication to revisit and extend what we know about the leadership prototype”, Obenauer & Kalsher 2023 (a pre-registered failure to replicate pro-white-leader bias & evidence of anti-white-leader bias)
Psychology/Biology
“Efficacy and safety of oral orforglipron in patients with type 2 diabetes: a multicenter, randomized, dose-response, phase 2 study”, Frias et al 2023
“A vibrating ingestible bioelectronic stimulator modulates gastric stretch receptors for illusory satiety”, Srinivasan et al 2023
“Randomized Trial of Ketamine Masked by Surgical Anesthesia in Depressed Patients”, Lii et al 2023
“High associative neuron numbers could drive cognitive performance in corvid species”, Ströckens et al 2022; “An energy costly architecture of neuromodulators for human brain evolution and cognition”, Castrillon et al 2023; “Gene purging and the evolution of Neoave [bird] metabolism and longevity”, Ng et al 2023; “Tempo and Pattern of Avian Brain Size Evolution”, Ksepka et al 2020
“The value of information gathering in phage-bacteria warfare”, Dahan et al 2024
“Fetching felines: a survey of cat owners on the diversity of cat (Felis catus) fetching behavior”, Forman et al 2023
“How This Marine Worm Can Tell Moonglow From Sunbeams” (a clever solution: have a light-sensitive protein which is extremely fragile)
“The Woman Who Spent Five Hundred Days in a Cave: Beatriz Flamini liked to be alone so much that she decided to live underground—and pursue a world record. The experience was gruelling and surreal.” (contrary to the initial press conference, she suffered severe mental & physical health issues)
“Nail Growth: 35 Years of Observation”, Bean 198046ya; “Effects of Sexual Activity on Beard Growth in Man”, Anonymous 1970
Technology
“Ultraviolet light can kill almost all the viruses in a room. Why isn’t it everywhere?”
“Building Apollo: A review of Angle of Attack: Harrison Storms and the Race to the Moon” (project management)
“Programming as Theory Building”, Naur 1985
“Artificial Molecular Machines”, Erbas-Cakmak et al 2015
“Plants Find Light Using Gaps Between Their Cells” (unexpected way to compute phototropism)
“Thanks to This Man, Airplanes Don’t Crash Into Mountains Anymore: Don Bateman’s terrain mapping device has nearly eliminated the largest cause of death in jetliner accidents” (initially using USSR global terrain maps bought on the Russian blackmarket)
“The World’s Fastest Road Cars—and the People Who Drive Them”
“Chaffing and winnowing”: cryptography without encryption
“Non-detection of the Tooth Fairy at Optical Wavelengths”, Armstrong 2012
Economics
“Lay economic reasoning: An integrative review and call to action”, Bhattacharjee & Dana 2024
“Does alleviating poverty increase cognitive performance? Short-term & long-term evidence from a randomized controlled trial”, Szaszi et al 2023 (no); “Cognitive Biases: Mistakes or Missing Stakes?”, Enke et al 2023
“Can Rock Dust Soak Up Carbon Emissions? A Giant Experiment Is Set to Find Out”
“The Tremendous Yet Troubled State of Gaming in 2024”, Matthew Ball
Philosophy
Fiction
“The Names of the Hare”, Anonymous (translated Heaney 198244ya; see Ross 1933 for etymology)
“SAURON, Mount Doom, and Elvish Moths: The Influence of Tolkien on Modern Science”, Larsen 2007
The first successful AMV: Steamboat Willie (“Turkey in the Straw”+click tracks)
“Cannibalism in the Cars”, Mark Twain 1868
“I Found David Lynch’s Lost Dune II Script” in the Frank Herbert university archives, Andy Greenberg
Books
Fiction:
Film/TV
Live-action:
Animated:
Isle of Dogs (2018)
“CHAIR”, Hiroshi Mori (200026ya)