March 2026 News
March 2026 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
March 2026’s Gwern.net newsletter is now out; previous, February 2026 (archives). This is a collation of links and summary of major changes, overlapping with my Changelog; brought to you by my donors on Patreon.
Writings
Links
AI
“Optimal Caverna Gameplay via Formal Methods”, Stephen Diehl (formalizing a farming Eurogame in Lean)
“Do Not Render Your Counterfactuals”, SelfMadeHuman 2025-07-30 (emotional harm from visualizing life regrets using image generators)
“NanoGPT Slowrun: Language Modeling with Limited Data, Infinite Compute” competiton (5.5x data efficiency so far from proper multi-epoch training, heavier regularization, SwiGLU, & ensembling; of course LLMs could still be much more sample-efficient…)
“How Well Did Superforecasters and Experts Predict Wet Lab Skill Uplift from LLMs? An RCT tested whether LLMs could help novices at molecular biology tasks. Here’s what forecasters predicted before the study, and how they updated their views on biorisk after learning the results”, Forecasting Research Institute 2026-02-19 (mid-2025 LLMs, cf. METR)
Claude-4.6-opus substantially helps Donald Knuth on an open research problem
Genetics
Everything Is Heritable:
Recent Evolution:
Engineering:
Statistics/Meta-Science
Politics/Religion
Psychology/Biology
Technology
Economics
Philosophy
Fiction
“Dear Aliens: a writing contest for humans”, Taylor 2026 ($2,500 in prizes; I’ll be a judge)
Books
Fiction:
Film/TV
Live-action:
Animated: