‘election forecast’ directory
See Also
- Gwern
-
Links
- “Statistical Paradises and Paradoxes in Big Data (1): Law of Large Populations, Big Data Paradox, and the 2016 US Presidential Election ”, Meng 2018
- “Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls ”, Shirani-Mehr et al 2018
- “The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective ”, Rhode & Strumpf 2013
- “2012 US Senate Election Results ”
- Miscellaneous
Gwern
“Prediction Markets ”, Gwern 2009
“2012 Election Predictions ”, Gwern 2012
Links
“Statistical Paradises and Paradoxes in Big Data (1): Law of Large Populations, Big Data Paradox, and the 2016 US Presidential Election ”, Meng 2018
“Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls ”, Shirani-Mehr et al 2018
“The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective ”, Rhode & Strumpf 2013
The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective
“2012 US Senate Election Results ”
Miscellaneous
/doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-gwern-notes.txt : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-linzer-statewinprob.csv : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-presidential.csv : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-senatemargin.csv : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-senatewin.csv : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-statemargin.csv : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2012-statewin.csv : /doc/statistics/ prediction/ election/ 2011-donaldson.pdf : https://www.astralcodexten.com/ p/ mantic-monday-51324 :