See Also
Gwern
“Prediction Markets”, Gwern 2009
“2012 Election Predictions”, Gwern 2012
Links
“Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls”, Shirani-Mehr et al 2018
“The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective”, Rhode & Strumpf 2013
The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective