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  1. https://aiimpacts.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/image2.png

  2. https://web.archive.org/web/20180408044422/http://goodjudgment.com/science.html

  3. https://aiimpacts.org/evidence-on-good-forecasting-practices-from-the-good-judgment-project/

  4. https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock/dp/0804136718/

  5. https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/02/04/book-review-superforecasting/

  6. https://www.amazon.com/Expert-Political-Judgment-Good-Know/dp/0691128715/

  7. Inside/Outside View

  8. Wikipedia Bibliography:

    1. Diminishing returns