NGE Rebuild Predictions
a comprehensive taxonomy of predictions on future Evangelion media
Justification/preface
Background on difficult predictions: original
argument for utility (see also Prediction markets): original
Evas
Eva 01
Eva 01 will be upgraded to/
redesignated Eva 07 original 25% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3686 Eva 01 will be upgraded to/
redesignated Eva 08 original original 25% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3687
Eva 02
In 3.0, Eva 02 will be operational & battle-ready 90% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3688 In 3.0, Eva 02 will be operational & battle-ready, and used in battle against either Angels or another Eva 85% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3689 In 3.0, Eva 02 will be nonoperational 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3690 In 3.0, Eva 02 will be scrapped 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3691 In 3.0, Eva 02 will be under repairs at/
during the beginning original 65% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3692 In 3.0, Eva 02 will be piloted at some point by Mari original 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3693
Eva 05
Eva 05 was Tunniel 45% https://
Eva 06
Eva 06 is Adam original original original 35% https://
Eva 07
Eva 07 will not be shown in 3.0 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3703 Eva 07 will not be shown in 4.0 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3704 Eva 07 will be destroyed or scrapped or reused before any combat original 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3705 Eva 07 will see combat but be quickly destroyed original 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3706 Eva 07 will be Lilith original original 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3707 Eva 07 will be Rei original 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3708 Eva 07 will be a MP-style Eva original 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3709 Eva 07 will be created from the wreckage of Eva 02 and Eva 03 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3710 Eva 07 will be created from the wreckage of Eva 02 and Eva 03 and will be two separate units linked to one pilot original 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3711 Eva 07 is not a conventional Eva, and has already been seen in 1.0 or 2.0 original 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3712 Eva 07 will be piloted by Asuka original 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3696 Eva 07 will be piloted by Touji original 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3697 Eva 07 will be piloted by Mari original 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3698 Eva 07 will be piloted by Rei original 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3699 Eva 07 will be piloted by Mana from Girlfriend of Steel original 0% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3700 Eva 07 will be piloted by a Magi original 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3701
Eva 08
Eva 08 will be piloted by Asuka original 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3682 Eva 08 will be used against NERV original 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3683 Eva 08 will be Lilith (shrunken) and not Eva-01 original 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3684 Eva 08 will related to the capture of NERV and extraction of Shinji original 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3685
MP Evas
The MP Evas will appear in 3.0 or 4.0 70% https://
Characters
Keel
Lorenz Keel is the Pope original 1% https://
Touji
Screentime:
Touji will be featured significantly in 3.0 35% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3343 Touji will be featured significantly in 4.0 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3344
Plot:
Touji will pilot an Eva original 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3346 Touji will pilot an Eva against the Mass Production Evas in 3.0 or 4.0, contingent on the MP Evas appearing 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3347
Mari
Backstory
Mari is the daughter of Asuka & Shinji from an ‘original’ EoE-verse original 3% https://
Mari’s goals and alignment are murky (perhaps because even Khara has no idea what she’s supposed to do, per the CRC):
Mari is conspiring with Kaji 85% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3674 Mari is working for SEELE 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3675 Mari is working for SEELE & is the head of SEELE 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3676
Mari is working for herself/
an otherwise unknown conspiracy/ group original 50% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3677 Mari is working for herself/
an otherwise unknown conspiracy/ group which is opposed to NERV & SEELE’s plans original 40% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3678 Mari is working for herself/
an otherwise unknown conspiracy/ group which is opposed to just SEELE’s plans & has links to Gendo original 30% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3679
Mari is really working for a NERV branch 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3680
Ontological Status
There certainly has been a lot of speculation on what Mari is:
Mari is a straight metaphysically normal human and nothing else original 35% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3662 Mari is a clone of Naoko Akagi original 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3663 Mari is an animal/
human hybrid 4% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3664 Mari is an angel/
human hybrid 50% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3665 Mari is an Eva 2% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3666 Mari is an Eva and specifically Eva-07 original 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3667 Mari is part-Russian or has connections to Russia 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3668 Mari is some sort of ‘False Child’ which has covertly replaced another one original 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3669 Mari is actually Asuka Soryu Langley in some sense 8% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3670 Mari is actually a disguised Asuka Soryu Langley original 4% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3671 Mari is actually an autonomous part of Asuka Soryu Langley, with Asuka Shikinami being the other half original 3% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3672
Plot
In 3.0, Mari will attend school as a regular student original 35% https://
At some point in the last 2 movies Mari will say ‘anta baka?’ 45% https://
At some point in the last 2 movies Mari will appear in EoE-style eye/
Mari marked for death by SEELE at some point original 50% https://
Mari will not survive past the 50 minute mark in 3.0 original 20% https://
a Mari x Shinji ending original 5% https://
Shinji
Shinji is a full Angel a la Re-Take (not a human-angel hybrid) original 15% https://
Shinji will kill Gendo original 20% https://
Shinji will die, permanently, and not transcend or continue to exist in some sense original 25% https://
Asuka
Asuka will pilot an Eva against the MP Evas in 3.0 or 4.0, contingent on MP Evas appearing 75% https://
Ontological Status
Current biology:
Asuka Shikinami is now a human/
angel hybrid 65% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3650 Asuka Shikinami is now a human/
angel hybrid and the angel infection takes her over 20% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3651 Asuka Shikinami is now a human/
angel hybrid and the angel infection takes her over and Shinji is forced to kill her original 10% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3652
Backstory
Conception/
Asuka is a test-tube baby, similar to the manga backstory 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3339 Asuka is a genetically modified human original 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3340 Asuka Shikinami is a clone of another Asuka original 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3341
Plot
Asuka will be employed by SEELE against NERV or Shinji 30% https://
Asuka vs. Shinji death-fight original 25% https://
3.0 Asuka will pilot Eva unit-06; it will go to Terminal Dogma and Asuka will beg Shinji to kill her original 15% https://
Asuka Shikinami is a clone of another Asuka and Shikinami is then disposed of original 20% https://
3.0 Asuka has no recollection of anything and will call herself “Asuka Langley Soryu” original 15% https://
Asuka will appear little after 2.0 and have an unimportant off-screen death original 10% https://
Asuka will have more screentime in 3.0 than in 2.0 (as measured by length in seconds of scenes involving her) 40% https://
Asuka’s surname’s change to Shikinami will receive no in-universe explanation 35% https://
In 3.0, Asuka will have been promoted 50% https://
In 3.0, Asuka will not remember the Matsushiro incident of 2.0 original 30% https://
The Key of Nebuchadnezzar will be implanted into Asuka 20% https://
Any Instrumentality/
Asuka & Shinji will kiss original 70% https://
Contingent upon there being a strangulation scene similar to EoE, Asuka will strangle Shinji original 30% https://
Asuka x Shinji ending original 70% https://
Rei
Plot
‘Giant naked Rei’ will rise again from the LCL sea during Instrumentality/
Rei will destroy the other Rei clones original 25% https://
What will come of Rei, merged with Shinji at the end of 2.0?
Rei & Shinji will remained merged in 3.0 original 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3626 Rei & Shinji will remained merged in 3.0 and will look like Rei (dressed in the AU uniform, as seen in first 3.0 preview) 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3627 Rei & Shinji will exit EVA-01 in 3.0 as separate beings original 80% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3624 Rei & Shinji will exit EVA-01 in 3.0 as separate beings and the SDAT player will be with them in some respect 70% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3625
A Rei x Shinji ending original 20% https://
Kaji
Plot
Sadly for Kaji, the most interesting questions are:
When will he die?
Kaji will die after Armisael 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3601 Misato will die before Kaji does original 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3602 Kaji will die before Misato 80% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3603 Kaji will die before Misato and in her arms original 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3604
Who will kill or be killed?
Kaji’s killer (if any) will be shown clearly, on-screen, and not off-screen original 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3600 Kaji will kill Misato original 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3599
Gendo
Plot
The Key of Nebuchadnezzar will be implanted into Gendo 60% https://
Gendo’s travels (3.0 preview indicates they are abroad):
Gendo & Fuyutsuki are traveling in the Dead Sea in 3.0 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3594 Gendo and Fuyutsuki go to Jerusalem in 3.0 original 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3597 Gendo and Fuyutsuki go to Jerusalem in 3.0 and there they use the Key of Nebuchadnezzar to unleash something that would either save the world or destroy it. original 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3598
Gendo will, in person, physically attack Shinji in 3.0 original 50% https://
Gendo’s ultimate goal in 4.0 will not be to reunite with Yui, but to turn her into a god-like entity original 4% https://
Yui will separate from Eva-01 and be physically human at some point original 15% https://
Gendo will die protecting Shinji in some sense original 30% https://
Kaworu
Backstory
Origin; Rei came from Yui & Lilith, yes, but Kaworu?
Kaworu’s body is derived in some fashion from Misato (such as DNA) original 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3380 Gendo is Kaworu’s genetic father 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3385 Kaworu knew Shinji during childhood 70% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3381 and his comment about happiness refers to being unable to comfort Shinji after Yui died original 45% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3382 when Shinji met some form of Adam/
Kaworu, accidentally causing Second Impact original 20% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3383
Plot
Kaworu will be renamed 35% https://
Kaworu will again be faced with a choice between committing suicide or killing humanity original 70% https://
Kaworu will kill a kitten original 35% https://
Kaworu will kill an Angel original 60% https://
Ritsuko
How will Ritsuko Akagi die?
Ritsuko will commit suicide 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3575 Ritsuko will commit suicide by shooting herself in the head original 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3576 Ritsuko will commit suicide by jumping off the bridge 3% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3577 Ritsuko will be shot by Gendo (again) 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3578
Fuyutsuki
Kozo Fuyutsuki dies (before Third Impact/
General
Mediums will include live-action like EoE:
There will be live-action 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 4166 The live-action, if any, will be in 4.0 70% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 4165
A version of the song “Komm, süsser Tod” will be used in Rebuild: https://
The fourth wall will be broken by:
a character 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8002 some form of Hideaki Anno 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8003
Plot
How will 3.0 open?
3.0 will open with a scene that has “something to do with Asuka’s mental journey from Bardiel’s contamination to waking up on the slab” original 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2653 3.0 will open with a flashback to entry plug test/
Yui being absorbed into Unit 0.1 original 10% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2654 3.0 will open in the beginning/
middle of an Angel attack like 2.0 40% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3573
There will be no Third Impact original original 40% https://
In 4.0, there will be an epilogue set years later original 35% https://
“Arael attacks the sequestered NERV personnel with a wide beam, providing for a mindfuckery exposition scene featuring the other adults finally.” original 5% https://
The entity in Terminal Dogma is still Lilith (of NGE TV) in some sense original 95% https://
The 4 pilots (Shinji, Asuka, Mari, Rei) each have a piece of Adam’s soul in addition to their own, with Kaworu having the main piece original 25% https://
The Key of Nebuchadnezzar:
The key of Nebuchadnezzar is a seed of life 70% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3567 The key of Nebuchadnezzar is a seed of life & the original Adam reduced to embryonic form (akin to NGE TV) 65% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3568 The Key of Nebuchadnezzar is neither a Lance nor Seed of Life, but a literal key which activates some piece of FAR technology original 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3564
The coffins on the moon each contain or contained an Angel. 95% https://
The Final Angel is EoE-Shogoki (and not Kaworu) original 5% https://
There are more than 2 white/
black moons involved 45% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3561 There are precisely 4 white/
black moons, 1 for each FAR depicted in flashbacks to 2I 35% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3562
The First Ancestral Race will be mentioned by name in Rebuild. 50% https://
The First Ancestral Race will reveal themselves and will come to Earth personally in 3.0 to punish Rei-Shinji/
The four Children mentioned in the 3.0 preview turn out to be: Shinji, Mari, Kaworu and Asuka original 80% https://
3.0 & 4.0 will deconstruct Shinji’s heroism and reveal it to be a sham a la Norman Spinrad’s The Iron Dream original 20% https://
By the end of 4.0, the Earth’s oceans will be blue (and full of life) and not red & lifeless original original 35% https://
4.0 will end on or near a blue wave shot to parallel the red wave shot that opened 1.0, and ended EoE original 15% https://
Shinji will masturbate to Asuka at some point during Rebuild 10% https://
What Is Rebuild Anyway?
Rebuild is a parallel universe:
Rebuild is an alternate universe(s) to NGE TV or EoE, possibly in the Everett multiverse sense original 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3311 Rebuild is an alternate universe(s) to NGE TV or EoE, but each universe is causally connected (by Kaworu or Shinji or another character) 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3312
Rebuild is a sequel:
Rebuild is a sequel to a previous NGE work 2% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3307 Rebuild is a sequel to EoE 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3308 Rebuild is a sequel to EoTV 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3309
Rebuild is a sequel to itself (time-loop) 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3310
Rebuild is a dream:
a dream in EoE
NGE: Rebuild is a dream/
possible-world during EoE 3% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3304 NGE: Rebuild is a dream/
possible-world during EoE of Shinji 2% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3305 NGE: Rebuild is a dream/
possible-world during EoE of Asuka 1% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3306
a dream in NGE TV
Rebuild is a dream during NGE TV 2% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3299 Rebuild is a dream during NGE TV by Asuka while being mind-raped original 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3300 Rebuild is a dream during NGE TV by Asuka while sedated original 1% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3301 Rebuild is a dream during NGE TV by Misato original 0% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3302 Rebuild is a dream during NGE TV by Rei or Kaworu original 0% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3303
Manga
Ending:
Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as EoE 26% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3293 Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as the NGE64 variant of EoE 26% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3294 Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as Rebuild 26% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3295 Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as EoTV 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3296 Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as Last A 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3297 Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as Last B 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3298 Eva manga will conclude as Rei x Shinji 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3623 Eva manga will conclude with no Third Impact 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ originalpredictions/ 2635 Shinji will save Asuka from MP Evas, there will be no Third Impact, and everyone lives happily ever after original 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2891
Shinji and/
or Asuka will defeat the MP Evas 50% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2630 Asuka will die in Stage 86 or 87 20%: https://
predictionbook.com/ FALSEpredictions/ 2883 NGE: Sadamoto’s Eva manga, Asuka will try to go berserk and will be killed by the MPEs; Third Impact subsequently starts 40% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3286 Third Impact will be controlled by/
center around Asuka 5% https:// predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2631
Real World
Businesses
Gainax will ‘fail in 2-3 years [from 201015ya]’ 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3230 Studio Khara will be dissolved or substantially cease operations after completing Rebuild. 35% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3281 Both 3.0 and 4.0 will be released in the US by Funimation 90% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3284
Work Details
There will be a fifth movie (an animation >40min) after 4.0. 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3289
Length
3.0 will not be longer than 60 minutes 15% https://
Titles
3.0 will be titled “You Can (Not) Die” 15% original https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3287 3.0 will be titled “You Can (Not) Be Replaced” 10% original https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3288 4.0 will be titled “” 10% original https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 5057
Release Dates
NGE TV will be released on Bluray:
in 201312ya 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8128 in 201411ya 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8129 in 2015 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8130
EoE will be released on Bluray
in 201312ya: 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8131 in 201411ya: 20% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8132 in 2015: 45% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 8133
Movies
3.0 will be released in 201114ya 0% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3273 3.0 will be released in 201213ya (1.0 = September 200718ya, 2.0 = July 200916ya, 2.0 slipped by 1.5 years) 80% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3274 3.0 will be released in 201312ya 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3275 3.0 will be released in 201411ya 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3276 4.0 will be released in 201213ya 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3277 4.0 will be released in 201312ya 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3278 4.0 will be released in 201411ya 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3279 4.0 will be released in 2015 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3280
Manga
Yoshiyuki Sadamoto will release >=9 stages of the Evangelion manga in 201114ya 4% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2249 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto will release 5-8 stages of the Evangelion manga in 201114ya 60% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2248 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto will release 3-5 stages of the Evangelion manga in 201114ya 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2247 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto will release 0-2 stages of the Evangelion manga in 201114ya 5% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2246 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto’s Evangelion manga will be finished sometime in 201114ya 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2253 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto’s Evangelion manga will be finished sometime in 201213ya 60% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2254 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto’s Evangelion manga will be finished sometime in 201312ya 15% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2255 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto’s Evangelion manga will be finished sometime in 201411ya 10% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 2256 Yoshiyuki Sadamoto’s Evangelion manga: After stage 87, there will be 3 more stages, for a final manga volume consisting of 6 stages 50% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3270
Live Action
There will not be a live-action Evangelion movie before 2015 85% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3271 There will not be a live-action Evangelion movie before 2020 77% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3272
Dramatis Personae
Anno will return to employment at Gainax after Rebuild. 30% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3282 Anno will return to employment at Gainax and also to the Gainax board of directors after Rebuild. 25% https://
predictionbook.com/ predictions/ 3283
Backlinks
Similar Links
The Notenki Memoirs: Studio Gainax And The Men Who Created Evangelion
The Conscience of the Otaking: The Studio Gainax Saga in 4 Parts
Anime’s atomic legacy: Takashi Murakami, Miyazaki, Anno, and the negotiation of Japanese war memory
Aesthetics of Destruction: Music and the Worldview of Shinji Ikari in Neon Genesis Evangelion