Bibliography:

  1. ​ The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective

  2. ​ Rajiv Sethi: On the Interpretation of Prediction Market Data

  3. ​ Rajiv Sethi: From Order Books to Belief Distributions

  4. ​ https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/33261/1/510931871.pdf

  5. ​ Automated Market Maker for Intrade Contracts

  6. ​ https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/presidential-dehtml

  7. ​ Automated Market Maker Results

  8. ​ Smoking Lesion

  9. ​ Does Evidential Decision Theory Really Fail Solomon's Problem?

  10. ​ Calibration

  11. ​ 2001-rowe.pdf

  12. ​ 1996-rowe.pdf

  13. ​ Eliminating the Hindsight Bias

  14. ​ How Friends Ruin Memory: The Social Conformity Effect

  15. ​ Following the Crowd: Brain Substrates of Long-Term Memory Conformity

  16. ​ Test Your Calibration!

  17. ​ Most Recent Predictions by Gwern

  18. ​ How Sure Are You?

  19. ​ Kelly Criterion in Detail

  20. ​ Kelly Criterion

  21. ​ Implementing the Kelly Criterion

  22. ​ Do Not Play the Lottery Unless You Are a Millionaire

  23. ​ Prediction Markets Are Hot, But Here's Why They Can Be So Wrong

  24. ​ https://intrade.com/jsp/intrade/common/c_cd.jsp?conDetailID=702407&z=1285870999458

  25. ​ https://intrade.com/jsp/intrade/common/c_cd.jsp?conDetailID=639648&z=1285871684768

  26. ​ https://intrade.com/jsp/intrade/common/c_cd.jsp?conDetailID=652756&z=1285872122100

  27. ​ Sarah Palin Will Not Be the Republican Nominee for President of the United States in 2012

  28. ​ https://intrade.com/jsp/intrade/common/c_cd.jsp?conDetailID=686537&z=1290800258450

  29. ​ Sarah Palin Is Mounting a 2012 Presidential Campaign

  30. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/

  31. ​ 2011 Intrade Fee Changes, Or, Intrade Considered No Longer Useful for LessWrongers

  32. ​ https://intrade.com/jsp/intrade/help/index.jsp?page=general.html%23fees

  33. ​ https://web.archive.org/web/20110107094639/http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/4797.page#44860

  34. ​ https://www.bizjournals.com/news/technology/startups

  35. ​ Intrade Will Close/merge/be Sold by 2012

  36. ​ Intrade Will Close/merge/be Sold by 2013

  37. ​ Intrade Will Close/merge/be Sold by 2015

  38. ​ The Prediction Market Intrade Will Still Be Open for Business in 2020

  39. ​ Witcoin

  40. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ijr8rsyvJci2edxot/making-money-with-bitcoin#umgwisuM8bxw8HPRv

  41. ​ On Monetary Restandardization

  42. ​ Silk Road 1: Theory & Practice

  43. ​ Pirateat40 Will Win His Bet With Vandroiy That BTCST Will Not Default, As Judged by Nanotube

  44. ​ https://web.archive.org/web/20140723071618/http://www.bitcointrading.com/forum/talk-bitcoin/confused-about-the-7-8-9-5-btcusd-bubble-answers-here-bitcoin-2012-07-17/

  45. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/wpllp/can_someone_explain_in_simple_terms_what_the_hell/

  46. ​ Mt. Gox

  47. ​ #bitcoin-Otc

  48. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/68TGNutjDcBcq6PCZ/bitcoin-cryonics-fund#5Da2f8n9aXmfJ7FYA

  49. ​ Bets of Bitcoin

  50. ​ http://betsofbitco.in/help

  51. ​ BitBet Stole ~$7,000 from Me (10 BTC)

  52. ​ Zerocoin: Anonymous Distributed E-Cash from Bitcoin

  53. ​ Zerocoin: Making Bitcoin Anonymous

  54. ​ Zerocoin Project

  55. ​ We’re Going to Release It As an Alt-Coin. It Will Take a Few Months to Get It to That Point. Bitcoin Can Do What It Wants.

  56. ​ CoinJoin: Bitcoin Privacy for the Real World

  57. ​ In Defense of Inclusionism

  58. ​ Zerocoin As Functioning Altcoin Network within a Year

  59. ​ Zerocoin Market Cap >$7,700,000,000 within 5 Years (conditional on Launch)

  60. ​ Zerocoin Market Cap >$7,000,000 within 5 Years (conditional on Launch)

  61. ​ Zerocoin Functionality Incorporated into Bitcoin within 1 Year

  62. ​ Zerocoin Functionality Incorporated into Bitcoin within 5 Years

  63. ​ A Bet Is a Tax on Bullshit

  64. ​ $2011

  65. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/w7ozrkxRsXF9DEreq/eliezer-yudkowsky-and-michael-vassar-at-nyu-thursday-march#rNw7QKkr9SEojxja2

  66. ​ $2012

  67. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pBTcCB5uJTzADdMm4/harry-potter-and-the-methods-of-rationality-discussion-15#qw9jdGrk5nGzjepyZ

  68. ​ Reddit, Help Me Find Some Peace I'M Dying Young

  69. ​ Is This One Emotion Driving The Google Stock Price Up?

  70. ​ $2013

  71. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/HPMOR/comments/1hc6x6/spoiler_discussion_thread_for_ch_8889/cat7wsz/

  72. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hxGEKxaHZEKT4fpms/our-phyg-is-not-exclusive-enough#pqqSFKmy8JwCv5Pcq

  73. ​ https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6518399

  74. ​ SR: <30 Related Arrests within a Year.

  75. ​ The Price of Bitcoin Will Be ≤$50 Before 2013-12-20: 5%

  76. ​ Pastebin.com - Not Found (#404)

  77. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/SilkRoad/comments/1pko9y/the_bet_bmr_and_sheep_to_die_in_a_year/

  78. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/SilkRoad/comments/1pko9y/the_bet_bmr_and_sheep_to_die_in_a_year/cd3ar75/

  79. ​ $2016

  80. ​ Idea Talkers Clump

  81. ​ $2017

  82. ​ https://x.com/carlking/status/822128552015314945

  83. ​ https://x.com/carlking

  84. ​ $2024

  85. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/postst5W87hQF5gKyTofQB/ufo-betting-put-up-or-shut-up#7qyFLsx9WQJdZfpjC

  86. ​ [Resignation Announcement]

  87. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Rational-Decisions-Gorman-Lectures-Economics/dp/0691149895/

  88. ​ Spaced Repetition for Efficient Learning

  89. ​ Midbrain dopamine neurons encode a quantitative reward prediction error signal

  90. ​ The Psychology and Neuroscience of Curiosity

  91. ​ https://x.com/alaindebotton/status/112772752041181184

  92. ​ Making an Amanda Knox Prediction Market

  93. ​ You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event

  94. ​ https://www.davidbrin.com/predictionsregistry.htm

  95. ​ Upcoming Predictions

  96. ​ Long Bets as Charitable Giving Opportunity

  97. ​ 02008-02017 (10 Years): Over a Ten-Year Period Commencing on January 1, 2008, and Ending on December 31, 2017, the S&P 500 Will Outperform a Portfolio of Funds of Hedge Funds, When Performance Is Measured on a Basis Net of Fees, Costs and Expenses.

  98. ​ Future Timeline Technology Singularity Future Events 2025 2050

  99. ​ about#long-content

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  100. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Expert-Political-Judgment-Good-Know/dp/0691128715/

  101. ​ Foxes vs Hedgehogs: Predictive Success

  102. ​ Statistical Prediction Rules Out-Perform Expert Human Judgments

  103. ​ Futuristic Predictions As Consumable Goods

  104. ​ https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/tetlock-wisdomhtml

  105. ​ Question Feed

  106. ​ Recent Predictions

  107. ​ http://betsofbitco.in/list?status=available&category=All&sorting=-moderationTime

  108. ​ http://betsofbitco.in/list?status=available&category=All&sorting=deadlineTime

  109. ​ https://home.inklingmarkets.com/recent/markets

  110. ​ https://home.inklingmarkets.com/expiring/markets

  111. ​ https://web.archive.org/web/20121219234250/http://markets.nitle.org/markets

  112. ​ https://web.archive.org/web/20121226035058/http://markets.nitle.org/expiring/markets

  113. ​ FX Claims

  114. ​ https://feeds.feedburner.com/longbets

  115. ​ Opening This Week

  116. ​ Upcoming Movies - New Releases

  117. ​ IARPA - ACE

  118. ​ The Good Judgment Project

  119. ​ Do Political Experts Know What They’re Talking About?

  120. ​ [LINK] Get Paid to Train Your Rationality

  121. ​ I Will Be Accepted by the Good Judgement Team.

  122. ​ 2011-gwern-gjp-psychsurveys.html

  123. ​ I Will Complete the Good Judgment Project and Be Paid the Full Honorarium.

  124. ​ GJP:

  125. ​ GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1007: Will There Be a Lethal Confrontation Involving Government Forces in the South China Sea or East China Sea by 31 December 2011?

  126. ​ 2011-gwern-gjp-forecastresults.html

  127. ​ Good Judgment Project Participant Feedback Report—Season 2 Performance

  128. ​ gjp-season4-allpages.maff

  129. ​ https://boardgamegeek.com/boardgame/20100/wits-and-wagers

  130. ​ https://www.amazon.com/How-Measure-Anything-Intangibles-Business/dp/0470539399/

  131. ​ Fermi Calculation Examples

  132. ​ YourMorals

  133. ​ evalinfo_process.html

  134. ​ cog_ab_process.html

  135. ​ bidr_process.html

  136. ​ crowne_process.html

  137. ​ selfeval_process.html

  138. ​ Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners

  139. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Risk-Intelligence-How-Live-Uncertainty/dp/1451610904/

  140. ​ https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304451104577392270431239772

  141. ​ 1001 PredictionBook Nights

  142. ​ Keep Your Identity Small

  143. ​ Probability Is Subjectively Objective

  144. ​ Rationality Is Systematized Winning

  145. ​ Beyond the Reach of God

  146. ​ Ugh Fields

  147. ​ Overcoming Suffering: Emotional Acceptance

  148. ​ Avoiding Your Belief's Real Weak Points

  149. ​ The Importance of Saying "Oops"

  150. ​ How To Actually Change Your Mind

  151. ​ Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)

  152. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HWH46whexsoqR3yXk/normal-ending-last-tears-6-8#GZb3kSi9ZrBQHFY5P

  153. ​ So As I Pray, Unlimited Moe Works

  154. ​ Track Your Calibration

  155. ​ Archiving URLs

  156. ​ The Arena for Accountable Predictions

  157. ​ Future Timeline Technology Singularity Future Events 2025 2050

  158. ​ Arthur C. Clarke - Expand Your Knowledge on Finances

  159. ​ New Year's Predictions Thread

  160. ​ New Year's Predictions Thread (2011)

  161. ​ Lesswrong.com Site:predictionbook.com

  162. ​ Predictionbook.com Site:reddit.com

  163. ​ FSK's Guide to Reality: The Defect of Intrade

  164. ​ Arbitrage of Prediction Markets

  165. ​ What Do You Have to Say About Ron Paul?

  166. ​ https://web.archive.org/web/20111011185020/http://www.regruntled.com/2008/10/21/selling-delusion-short/

  167. ​ https://web.archive.org/web/20111011185055/http://www.regruntled.com/2008/11/06/intrade-retrospective/

  168. ​ Prediction Markets

  169. ​ Forecasting: Expectations, Intentions, and Confidence

  170. ​ Arbitrage of Prediction Markets

  171. ​ United States to Conduct Overt Military Action against North Korea Before Midnight ET on 31 Dec 2012

  172. ​ China to Conduct Overt Military Action against Taiwan Before Midnight ET 31 Dec 2013

  173. ​ Japan to Announce It Has Acquired a Nuclear Weapon Before Midnight ET on 31 Dec 2013

  174. ​ Lost Purposes

  175. ​ https://projects.csail.mit.edu/gsb/old-archive/gsb-archive/gsb2000-02-11.html

  176. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CfTH84gGFCRqo8D7t/cult-impressions-of-less-wrong-singularity-institute#u7Ga5JhcoyuYSKRSq

  177. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Kn6H8Tk6EPT4Atq4k/test-your-rationality#3PkwsKYyhNBgvbs2f

  178. ​ Some Heroes

  179. ​ NGE Rebuild Predictions

  180. ​ nootropics#adderall-blind-testing

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  181. ​ nootropics#modalert-blind-day-trial

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  182. ​ LSD microdosing RCT

  183. ​ Summers of Code, 2006–2013

  184. ​ summer-of-code#predicting-2010-results

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  185. ​ summer-of-code#predicting-2011-results

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  186. ​ summer-of-code#predictions

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  187. ​ summer-of-code#predictions-1

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  188. ​ google-shutdown#predictions

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  189. ​ It's Charisma, Stupid

  190. ​ https://www.chronopause.com/

  191. ​ https://x.com/stevenkaas/statuses/149616831290818560

  192. ​ About This Website

  193. ​ Choosing Software

  194. ​ Nootropics

  195. ​ Zeo sleep self-experiments

  196. ​ Wikipedia & Knol: Why Knol Already Failed

  197. ​ Predicting Google closures

  198. ​ ‘Methods of Rationality’ predictions

  199. ​ Slowing Moore’s Law: How It Could Happen

  200. ​ The Notenki Memoirs: Studio Gainax And The Men Who Created Evangelion § ↩︎

    [Transclude the forward-link's context]

  201. ​ Modafinil

  202. ​ Who Wrote The Death Note Script?

  203. ​ The Crypto-Currency: Bitcoin and its mysterious inventor

  204. ​ 2014 Jed McCaleb MtGox interview

  205. ​ Blackmail fail

  206. ​ The Mystery of the Haunted Rationalist

  207. ​ Remind Physicalists They'Re Physicalists

  208. ​ George Orwell: In Front of Your Nose

  209. ​ The Sin of Underconfidence

  210. ​ XiXiDu Will Not Comment or Post to LW for 5 Years

  211. ​ https://www.hamilton.edu/documents/An-Analysis-of-the-Accuracy-of-Forecasts-in-the-Political-Media.pdf

  212. ​ https://www.fanfiction.net/s/5782108/20/Harry_Potter_and_the_Methods_of_Rationality

  213. ​ Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality

  214. ​ New Year's Predictions Thread

  215. ​ http://csjarchive.cogsci.rpi.edu/Proceedings/2005/docs/p512.pdf

  216. ​ Why Do Humans Reason? Arguments for an Argumentative Theory

  217. ​ This Is What 5% Feels Like.

  218. ​ Planning Fallacy

  219. ​ Hindsight Bias

  220. ​ https://predictionbook.com/predictions/2030

  221. ​ Understanding Your Understanding

  222. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Yogi-Book-Berra/dp/0761154434/

  223. ​ Can self-prediction overcome barriers to Hepatitis B vaccination? A randomized controlled trial

  224. ​ The Scientific Method

  225. ​ Actuarial Life Table

  226. ​ Techniques for Probability Estimates

  227. ​ 1986-osberg.pdf

  228. ​ A Level 7 (Chernobyl/2011 Japan Level) Nuclear Accident Will Take Place by End of 2020.

  229. ​ Within Ten Years the SAT Testing Service Will Require Students to Take a Blood Test to Prove They Are Not on Cognitive Enhancing Drugs

  230. ​ News and Press Releases

  231. ​ By 2025 There Will Be at Least One Confirmed Person Who Has Lived to 130.

  232. ​ By 2085 There Will Be at Least One Confirmed Person Who Has Lived to 150

  233. ​ What Is the Future of Solar Power?

  234. ​ https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/when-see-solarhtml

  235. ​ Obama Gets Reelected and during That Time Hillary Clinton Brokers the Middle East Peace Deal between Israel and Palestine for the Two State Solution. This Secures Her Presidency in 2016.

  236. ​ There Will Be a Major War, Starting in the Middle East. Israel Will Lose (75%). China Will Probably Join in on the Radical-Muslim Side. Iran Will Try to Use Its Nukes but They Will Be Duds. Israel Will Not Use Theirs...

  237. ​ https://x.com/stevenkaas/status/9852587905912832

  238. ​ The Ups and Downs of the Hope Function In a Fruitless Search

  239. ​ https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/psychology-of-intelligence-analysis/art13.html

  240. ​ 1978-fischhoff.pdf

  241. ​ 2012 election predictions

  242. ​ Forecasting Newsletter

  243. ​ Calibrate Your Self-Assessments

  244. ​ Calibrating Our Confidence

  245. ​ Calibration Test With Database of 150,000+ Questions

  246. ​ Amanda Knox: Post Mortem

  247. ​ A Short Note

  248. ​ https://fs.blog/decision-journal/

  249. ​ Prediction Markets: When Do They Work?

  250. ​ Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project

  251. ​ Data on Forecasting Accuracy across Different Time Horizons and Levels of Forecaster Experience

  252. ​ Alignment Problems With Current Forecasting Platforms

  253. ​ https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6489135

  254. ​ One Man’s Modus Ponens

  255. ​ Fucked

  256. ​ Science Fiction, Double Feature, 2: Part 2

  257. ​ Plastination versus Cryonics

  258. ​ In China, Philanthropy As a New Measuring Stick

  259. ​ $2000

  260. ​ $2009

  261. ​ The Biggest Losers of the Decade

  262. ​ 10,000 Year Clock

  263. ​ Policy Review

  264. ​ https://time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,57731,00.html

  265. ​ The Mystery of Steve Jobs's Public Giving

  266. ​ The Post-Jobs Era: Tim Cook Brings Philanthropy back to Apple

  267. ​ Future of Steve Jobs' $6.7 Billion Wealth Likely to Remain As Private As He Was

  268. ​ Story E6frfmd9 1226650636880

  269. ​ The World's Richest People

  270. ​ Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence

  271. ​ Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence

  272. ​ https://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/02/opinion/bono-praises-steve-jobs-as-generous-and-poetic.html

  273. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Steve-Jobs-Walter-Isaacson/dp/1451648537/

  274. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Inside-Apple-Americas-Admired-Secretive-Company/dp/145551215X

  275. ​ Kindle Notes: Inside Apple by Adam Lashinsky

  276. ​ https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304610404579405420617578250

  277. ​ Steve Jobs's Will Shall Donate >=99% of His Wealth to Charity.

  278. ​ https://predictionbook.com/predictions/3616

  279. ​ Steve Jobs's Will Shall Donate 0-10% of His Wealth to Charity

  280. ​ Laurene Powell Jobs Goes Public to Promote Dream Act

  281. ​ Steve Jobs’s Widow Sets Philanthropy Goals

  282. ​ How Steve Jobs Got Sick, Got Better, and Decided to Save Some Lives

  283. ​ Steve Jobs' Liver Transplant: Did He Game the System?

  284. ​ American Medical Association

  285. ​ Publish or Perish

  286. ​ Apple Institutes New Charitable Matching Program for Employees

  287. ​ The Trouble With Steve Jobs

  288. ​ Darwin's Employer Was One of the 6 Named Billionaires.

  289. ​ Darwin's Employer Was Either Bezos, Thiel, or Simonyi.

  290. ​ Darwin's Employer Was Bezos.

  291. ​ Darwin's Employer Was Peter Thiel.

  292. ​ Darwin's Employer Was Charles Simonyi

  293. Wikipedia Bibliography:

    1. ​ Prediction Market

    2. ​ Expected Value

    3. ​ Immanuel Kant

    4. ​ Critique of Pure Reason

    5. ​ Robin Hanson

    6. ​ Efficient-Market Hypothesis

    7. ​ No-Trade Theorem

    8. ​ Zero-Sum Game

    9. ​ Decision Theory

    10. ​ Cognitive Bias

    11. ​ Overconfidence Effect

    12. ​ Calibration (statistics)

    13. ​ Calibrated Probability Assessment

    14. ​ Delphi Method

    15. ​ George Ainslie (psychologist)

    16. ​ Hindsight Bias

    17. ​ Kelly Criterion

    18. ​ Kelly Criterion § Reasons to Bet Less Than Kelly

    19. ​ Tilt (poker)

    20. ​ Risk Aversion

    21. ​ Hollywood Stock Exchange

    22. ​ Betfair

    23. ​ Betdaq

    24. ​ Intrade

    25. ​ TradeSports

    26. ​ Nadex

    27. ​ Iowa Electronic Markets

    28. ​ W. Somerset Maugham

    29. ​ Fred Thompson

    30. ​ Margin (finance)

    31. ​ 2010 California Proposition 19

    32. ​ Felix Salmon

    33. ​ Bitcoin

    34. ​ Pump and Dump

    35. ​ Dwolla

    36. ​ Zero-Knowledge Proof

    37. ​ Namecoin

    38. ​ Iron Law of Oligarchy

    39. ​ Bullshit § Harry Frankfurt's Concept

    40. ​ Credit Risk § Counterparty Risk

    41. ​ Mira Murati

    42. ​ OpenAI

    43. ​ Dopamine § Motivation and Pleasure

    44. ​ Reinforcement Learning

    45. ​ Amanda Knox

    46. ​ Friedman Unit

    47. ​ Philip E. Tetlock

    48. ​ Performative Utterance

    49. ​ Confirmation Bias

    50. ​ Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity

    51. ​ The Second Coming (poem)

    52. ​ Loss Aversion

    53. ​ William James

    54. ​ The Will to Believe

    55. ​ David Brin

    56. ​ Nate Silver

    57. ​ Favourite-Longshot Bias

    58. ​ Paul Graham (programmer)

    59. ​ Hiroyuki Yamaga

    60. ​ François De La Rochefoucauld (writer)

    61. ​ George Orwell

    62. ​ Evolutionary Psychology

    63. ​ Parkinson's Law

    64. ​ Credit Default Swap

    65. ​ Yogi Berra

    66. ​ Framing (social Sciences)

    67. ​ Push Poll

    68. ​ Life Table

    69. ​ Base Rate

    70. ​ Availability Heuristic

    71. ​ Fermi Problem

    72. ​ Single-Nucleotide Polymorphism

    73. ​ One-Child Policy

    74. ​ Sex-Selective Abortion

    75. ​ Phlebotomy

    76. ​ Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

    77. ​ Besse Cooper

    78. ​ Technological Singularity

    79. ​ Tyler Cowen

    80. ​ Conjunction Fallacy

    81. ​ Subadditivity Effect

    82. ​ Anchoring Effect

    83. ​ Richards Heuer

    84. ​ Roy Amara § Amara's Law

    85. ​ Mike Darwin

    86. ​ Amber

    87. ​ Fermi Calculations

    88. ​ Jeff Bezos

    89. ​ Clock of the Long Now

    90. ​ Category:Australian Billionaires

    91. ​ Openness to Experience

    92. ​ Category:American Billionaires

    93. ​ Larry Page

    94. ​ Sergey Brin

    95. ​ Larry Ellison

    96. ​ Charles Simonyi

    97. ​ Jay S. Walker

    98. ​ Jay S. Walker § The Walker Library of the History of Human Imagination

    99. ​ Peter Thiel

    100. ​ Jerry Yang

    101. ​ Global Catastrophic Risk

    102. ​ Anthropic Principle

    103. ​ Peter Thiel § Philanthropy

    104. ​ Seasteading

    105. ​ Machine Intelligence Research Institute

    106. ​ Methuselah Foundation § Methuselah Mouse Prize

    107. ​ Stewart Brand

    108. ​ Larry Ellison § Charitable Donations

    109. ​ Steve Jobs

    110. ​ Laurene Powell Jobs

    111. ​ IWoz

    112. ​ Matching Funds § Charitable Donations

    113. ​ CNN Business

    114. ​ Jim Simons (mathematician)