Bibliography:

  1. ​ ‘science’ tag

  2. ​ ‘forecasting’ tag

  3. ​ Benchmarking LLM Diversity & Creativity

  4. ​ Miscellaneous

  5. ​ Startup Ideas

  6. ​ Prediction Markets

  7. ​ Fermi Calculation Examples

  8. ​ Silk Road 1: Theory & Practice

  9. ​ Modafinil

  10. ​ Girl Scouts & Good Corporate Governance

  11. ​ Introduction to Fermi Estimates

  12. ​ 578265fde44dbd5d9441dec00fe657c3444769cb.html

  13. ​ Fermi Problem: Power developed at the eruption of the Puyehue-Cordón Caulle volcanic system in June 2011

  14. ​ Caloric restriction delays disease onset and mortality in rhesus monkeys

  15. ​ FLEEP: The Collected Comic

  16. ​ On Number Numbness

  17. ​ Estimation—Part I: How to Do It?

  18. ​ 900a303229f586207804c83124778b8b8ab18945.html

  19. ​ Risk Management and Sounding Crazy

  20. ​ Quantified Intuitions: An Epistemics Training Website including a New EA-Themed Calibration App

  21. ​ The Estimation Game: a Monthly Fermi Estimation Web App

  22. ​ Some Key Numbers That Every Effective Altruist Should Know

  23. ​ 9ed11971939ac1089cc0b8154a8faa0e667aa5b0.html

  24. ​ Napkin-Math: Techniques and Numbers for Estimating System’s Performance from First-Principles

  25. ​ How Should Mathematics Be Taught to Non-Mathematicians?

  26. ​ 393f0df1d9a3d8a1800ccd5ccff8415fcc2184e2.html

  27. ​ Neurotechnology Numbers Worth Knowing

  28. ​ Reactionary Philosophy In An Enormous, Planet-Sized Nutshell

  29. ​ What If?

  30. ​ Fermi Estimates

  31. ​ Fermi Estimates

  32. ​ Inside/Outside View

  33. ​ /r/estimation

  34. ​ bb4325f5c31e7a9b02469da85e10d4ec378643f2.html

  35. ​ https://book.bionumbers.org/

  36. ​ https://frinklang.org/

  37. ​ https://nabeelqu.co/advice

  38. ​ https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3389084

  39. ​ c8a6cff53a989444d691e1ee35428f4d46456f1c.html

  40. ​ https://www.amazon.com/How-Measure-Anything-Intangibles-Business/dp/1118539273/

  41. ​ https://www.amazon.com/Street-Fighting-Mathematics-Educated-Guessing-Opportunistic/dp/026251429X

  42. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aARGW967NexuSrCwW/rationality-competitiveness-and-akrasia#ggmadikyQcspwpfA3

  43. ​ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/etAJHCL7GwPFTFRAv/smbc-comic-poorly-programmed-average-utility-maximizing-ai#nwH8WbPNG63ZtY2hS

  44. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/WTF/comments/188zui/this_is_beyond_saddening_tigers_starved_to_make/c8cql4x/

  45. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/estimation/comments/105okb/request_how_many_times_has_mario_died/

  46. ​ 01a0c03f7385f5f929d065414ea1274cfa6b5126.html

  47. ​ https://www.reddit.com/r/estimation/comments/1f765d/request_in_an_average_lifetime_how_many_of_the/ca85zcl

  48. ​ 1b2574f28d591fc09d0b3c35a207f4ddf2652402.html

  49. Wikipedia Bibliography:

    1. ​ Benford’s Law

    2. ​ Dimensional Analysis

    3. ​ Douglas Hofstadter

    4. ​ Drake Equation

    5. ​ Fermi Problem

    6. ​ Log-Normal Distribution

    7. ​ Median Lethal Dose § Examples

    8. ​ Orders of Magnitude: Data

    9. ​ Orders of Magnitude: Energy

    10. ​ Orders of Magnitude: Power

    11. ​ Sino-Forest Corporation § Fraud Allegations

    12. ​ Timothy Gowers

    13. ​ Type System § Type Checking

    14. ​ What If? (book)