“Clans and Calamity: How Social Capital Saved Lives during China’s Great Famine”, Jiarui Cao, Yiqing Xu, Chuanchuan Zhang2022-06 (, )⁠:

This paper examines the role of social capital, embedded in kinship-based clans, in disaster relief during China’s Great Famine (19583196163ya).

Using a county-year panel and a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that:

the rise in the mortality rate during the famine years is statistically-significantly less in counties with a higher clan density. Analysis using a nationally representative household survey corroborates this finding. Investigation of potential mechanisms suggests that social capital’s impact on famine may have operated through enabling collective action against excessive government procurement.

These results provide evidence that societal forces can ameliorate damages caused by faulty government policies in times of crisis.

[Keywords: social capital, disasters, family clans, China’s great famine, mortality]