https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/75o8oja43LXGAqbAR/palm-2-and-gpt-4-in-extrapolating-gpt-n-performance (GPT-4 nonfiction, PaLM, AI scaling)

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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/75o8oja43LXGAqbAR/palm-2-and-gpt-4-in-extrapolating-gpt-n-performance