“1960: The Year The Singularity Was Cancelled”, 2019-04-22 (; similar):
[On the relationship between absolute population size, population growth, economic growth (absolute and per capita), innovation, ideas, and science: is the long exponential history of the progress of science, technology, and computing merely due to the accompanying exponential growth of the human population size after reaching a critical point where the Malthusian trap could be escaped and a new higher equilibrium sought, creating more possible researchers and enabling positive externalities?
If so, then the end of exponential global population growth in the 1960s-1970s was also the end of the exponential era in human progress…
At least until a new mode of exponential growth, such as artificial intelligence or brain emulations, begins.]
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