“Price’s Equation Made Clear”, Andy Gardner2020-03-09 (; backlinks; similar)⁠:

Price’s equation provides a very simple—and very general—encapsulation of evolutionary change. It forms the mathematical foundations of several topics in evolutionary biology, and has also been applied outwith evolutionary biology to a wide range of other scientific disciplines. However, the equation’s combination of simplicity and generality has led to a number of misapprehensions as to what it is saying and how it is supposed to be used.

Here, I give a simple account of what Price’s equation is, how it is derived, what it is saying and why this is useful. In particular, I suggest that Price’s equation is useful not primarily as a predictor of evolutionary change but because it provides a general theory of selection.

As an illustration, I discuss some of the insights Price’s equation has brought to the study of social evolution.

This article is part of the theme issue ‘Fifty years of the Price equation’.