“The Developmental Nature of the Victim-Offender Overlap”, Amber L. Beckley, Avshalom Caspi, Louise Arseneault, J. C. Barnes, Helen L. Fisher, Honalee Harrington, Renate Houts, Nick Morgan, Candice L. Odgers, Jasmin Wertz, Terrie E. Moffitt2017-10-09 (, )⁠:

Purpose: It is well-established that victims and offenders are often the same people, a phenomenon known as the victim-offender overlap, but the developmental nature of this overlap remains uncertain. In this study, we drew from a developmental theoretical framework to test effects of genetics, individual characteristics, and routine-activity-based risks. Drawing from developmental literature, we additionally tested the effect of an accumulation of adverse childhood experiences (ACEs).

Method: Data came from the Environmental Risk (E-Risk) Study, a representative UK birth cohort of 2,232 twins born in 1994–199529ya and followed to age 18 (with 93% retention). Crime victimization and offending were assessed through self-reports at age 18 (but findings replicated using crime records). We used the classical twin study method to decompose variance in the victim-offender overlap into genetic and environmental components. We used logistic regression to test the effects of childhood risk factors.

Results: In contrast to past twin studies, we found that environment (as well as genes) contributed to the victim-offender overlap. Our logistic regression results showed that childhood low self-control and childhood antisocial behavior nearly doubled the odds of becoming a victim-offender, compared to a victim-only or an offender-only. Each additional ACE increased the odds of becoming a victim-offender, compared to a victim-only or an offender-only, by ~12%, pointing to the importance of cumulative childhood adversity.

Conclusions: This study showed that the victim-offender overlap is, at least partially, developmental in nature and predictable from personal childhood characteristics and an accumulation of many adverse childhood experiences.