Crowd prediction systems: Markets, polls, and elite forecasters:
Augur: a Decentralized Oracle and Prediction Market Platform (v2.0):
Fake Journal Club: Teaching Critical Reading (full context):
Estimating the deep replicability of scientific findings using human and artificial intelligence:
Fermi Calculation Examples (full context):
Predicting replication outcomes in the Many Labs 2 study:
Long Bets as Charitable Giving Opportunity (full context):
Predicting Google closures (full context):
‘Methods of Rationality’ predictions (full context):
Learning Performance of Prediction Markets with Kelly Bettors:
Silk Road 1: Theory & Practice (full context):
NGE Rebuild Predictions (full context):
A Prediction Market for Macro-Economic Variables:
About This Website (full context):
Summers of Code, 2006–2013 (full context):
Wikipedia & Knol: Why Knol Already Failed (full context):
Summers of Code, 2006–2013 (full context):
2012 election predictions (full context):
Spaced Repetition for Efficient Learning (full context):