“Statistical Notes § Selective Emigration and Personality Trait Change”, Gwern2014-07-17 (Haskell, JS, R, genetics, IQ, Bayes, causality, decision theory, order statistics, power analysis, survey; similar)⁠:

Miscellaneous statistical stuff

Knudsen2019 finds that the emigration of 25% of the Scandinavian population to the USA 1850^–₇₀1920_104ya was driven in part by more ‘individualistic’ personality factors among emigrants, leading to permanent decreases in mean ‘individualism’ in the home countries. This is attributed to cultural factors, rather than genetics. I model the overall migration as a simple truncation selection scenario, and find that in a simple model under reasonable assumptions, the entire effect could be genetic.

• Critiques
  • Failed Facebook Critiques
  • Correlation=Causation in Cancer Research
  • Aerobic vs Weightlifting
  • Moxibustion Mouse Study
• “Someone Should Do Something”: Wishlist of Miscellaneous Project Ideas
• Estimating Censored Test Scores
• The Traveling Gerontologist Problem
• Bayes Nets
  • Daily Weight Data Graph
  • Zeo Sleep Data
• Genome Sequencing Costs
• Proposal: Hand-Counting Mobile App for More Fluid Group Discussions
• Air Conditioner Replacement
  • Parameters
  • Cost-Benefit
    • Discounting
  • Sensitivity Analysis
• Some Ways of Dealing With Measurement Error
• Value of Information: Clinical Prediction Instruments for Suicide
• Bayesian Model Averaging
• Dealing With All-Or-Nothing Unreliability of Data
  • Binomial
    • Binomial With Binary Unreliability
      • ABC
      • Mixture
      • Weakening Heuristic?
• Dysgenics Power Analysis
  • Selection on SNPs
  • Mutation Load
  • Weaknesses
  • Genetic Data Availability
    • Proprietary
    • Public
• Power Analysis for Racial Admixture Studies of Continuous Variables
  • Sibling Power Analysis
  • Adoption Power Analysis
    • Mean Population European Ancestry & Population Standard Deviation
    • Power Simulation
• Operating on an Aneurysm
  • Risk
  • Expected Loss
    • QALY/DALY Adjustment
  • Cost-Benefit
• The Power of Twins: Revisiting Student’s Scottish Milk Experiment Example
• RNN Metadata For Mimicking Individual Author Style
• MCTS
• Candy Japan A/B Test
• DeFries-Fulker Power Analysis
• Inferring Mean IQs From SMPY/TIP Elite Samples
• Genius Revisited: On the Value of High IQ Elementary Schools
• Great Scott! Personal Name Collisions and the Birthday Paradox
• Detecting Fake (human) Markov Chain Bots
• Optimal Existential Risk Reduction Investment
• Model Criticism via Machine Learning
• Proportion of Important Thinkers by Global Region Over Time in Charles Murray’s Human Accomplishment
• Program for Non-Spaced-Repetition Review of past Written Materials for Serendipity & Rediscovery: Archive Revisiter
• On the Value of New Statistical Methods
• Bayesian Power Analysis: Probability of Exact Replication
• Expectations Are Not Expected Deviations and Large Number of Variables Are Not Large Samples
  • Founder Effects
• Oh Deer: Could Deer Evolve to Avoid Car Accidents?
• Evolution As Backstop for Reinforcement Learning
• Acne: a Good Quantified Self Topic
• Fermi Calculations
• Selective Emigration and Personality Trait Change
  • See Also
• The Most Abandoned Books on GoodReads
• Best Student Ever!
  • Record Value Problem
    • Doubling Interval
    • Harmonic Series
• Little’s Law in the Wild
• Tail Collapse

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