“Statistical Notes § Best Student Ever!”, 2014-07-17 (; similar):
Miscellaneous statistical stuff
How often could a teacher truthfully say of a student, such as in a letter of recommendation, that the student was their “best student ever”?
This is an instance of the ‘record value’ problem in order statistics, and can be easily solved if we know how many students are taught each year: there are surprisingly many, because the number of best-evers will grow roughly logarithmically in total students, as the initial burst of record-setters fades out into ever-rarer record-breakers.
For example, for the literary critic Harold Bloom’s 64-year-long teaching career, he might observe something like ln(6,400) ≈ 9 best-ever students.
- Critiques
- “Someone Should Do Something”: Wishlist of Miscellaneous Project Ideas
- Estimating Censored Test Scores
- The Traveling Gerontologist Problem
- Bayes Nets
- Genome Sequencing Costs
- Proposal: Hand-Counting Mobile App for More Fluid Group Discussions
- Air Conditioner Replacement
- Some Ways of Dealing With Measurement Error
- Value of Information: Clinical Prediction Instruments for Suicide
- Bayesian Model Averaging
- Dealing With All-Or-Nothing Unreliability of Data
- Dysgenics Power Analysis
- Power Analysis for Racial Admixture Studies of Continuous Variables
- Operating on an Aneurysm
- The Power of Twins: Revisiting Student’s Scottish Milk Experiment Example
- RNN Metadata For Mimicking Individual Author Style
- MCTS
- Candy Japan A/B Test
- DeFries-Fulker Power Analysis
- Inferring Mean IQs From SMPY/TIP Elite Samples
- Genius Revisited: On the Value of High IQ Elementary Schools
- Great Scott! Personal Name Collisions and the Birthday Paradox
- Detecting Fake (human) Markov Chain Bots
- Optimal Existential Risk Reduction Investment
- Model Criticism via Machine Learning
- Proportion of Important Thinkers by Global Region Over Time in Charles Murray’s Human Accomplishment
- Program for Non-Spaced-Repetition Review of past Written Materials for Serendipity & Rediscovery: Archive Revisiter
- On the Value of New Statistical Methods
- Bayesian Power Analysis: Probability of Exact Replication
- Expectations Are Not Expected Deviations and Large Number of Variables Are Not Large Samples
- Oh Deer: Could Deer Evolve to Avoid Car Accidents?
- Evolution As Backstop for Reinforcement Learning
- Acne: a Good Quantified Self Topic
- Fermi Calculations
- Selective Emigration and Personality Trait Change
- The Most Abandoned Books on GoodReads
- Best Student Ever!
- Little’s Law in the Wild
- Tail Collapse