Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners, 2001 (; backlinks; similar):
Forecasting is important in many aspects of our lives. As individuals, we try to predict success in our marriages, occupations, and investments. Organizations invest enormous amounts based on forecasts for new products, factories, retail outlets, and contracts with executives. Government agencies need forecasts of the economy, environmental impacts, new sports stadiums, and effects of proposed social programs.
The purpose of this book is to summarize knowledge of forecasting as a set of principles. These “principles” represent advice, guidelines, prescriptions, condition-action statements, and rules. We expect principles to be supported by empirical evidence. For this book, however, I asked authors to be ambitious in identifying principles for forecasting by including those based on expert judgment and even those that might be speculative. The authors describe the evidence so that you can judge how much confidence can be placed in the principles.
To summarize the findings, I invited 39 leading researchers to describe principles in their areas of expertise…Most of the book is devoted to descriptions of forecasting methods, discussions of the conditions under which they are most useful, and summaries of the evidence.