“The Power of Bias in Economics Research”, John Ioannidis, T. D. Stanley, Hristos Doucouliagos2017-10-24 (, , )⁠:

We investigate 2 critical dimensions of the credibility of empirical economics research: statistical power and bias.

We survey 159 empirical economics literatures that draw upon 64,076 estimates of economic parameters reported in more than 6,700 empirical studies.

Half of the research areas have nearly 90% of their results under-powered. The median statistical power is 18%, or less. A simple weighted average of those reported results that are adequately powered (power ≥ 80%) reveals that nearly 80% of the reported effects in these empirical economics literatures are exaggerated; typically, by a factor of 2 and with 1⁄3rd inflated by a factor of 4 or more.