“Estimating Bounds on Athletic Performance”, 1967-05-01 ():
A sequence of athletic records forms by definition a monotonic sequence.
Since it is reasonable to assume this to be bounded, it follows that a limit must exist to future performance.
It has been proposed [1, 2] that this can be estimated by use of a curve-fitting procedure on existing data, such as may be found in many compendia of athletic records.