Research on the relationship between categorical unconventionality and popularity has produced mixed results. While many accounts suggest that unconventionality is penalized, much sociological theorizing indicates that success comes from a delicate balancing act between conventional and unconventional offerings.
Using data on the genre self-classifications of over 2 million musicians and bands across the United States [on MySpace…With 121 genres afforded and 3 available slots in which to apply genres to represent themselves, bands had around 300,000 unique categorical identities available to them], the authors find broad support for this balancing act.
Figure 3: Genre conventionality and popularity across 3 musical worlds: rock music, hip-hop, and niche. All 3 exhibit an inverted U-shaped characteristic of optimal matching. However, the shapes vary, indicating different ways of balancing these imperatives. Curves are estimated using a GAM in which the relationship between popularity and unconventionality in a given world is expressed in terms of a penalized cubic regression spline. Penalized cubic regression splines were implemented using the shrinkage smoother included as part of the mgcv library in R (Wood2017). The visual evidence produced by the GAMs is corroborated using more conventional parametric procedures including two-line tests and quadratic multilevel regression.
Yet the shape it takes is also conditioned on local contexts, across both high-order complexes of musical genres and geographic space. The authors highlight the local metropolitan area characteristics that shift the relationship between unconventionality and popularity. They also create a typology of cities (“normalists”, “traditionalists”, “experimentalists”, and “specialists”) based on how their unconventional offerings are rewarded and punished. An online visualization tool enables further investigation of these relationships.
The authors close by proposing an agenda for how to study local heterogeneity in the relationship between unconventionality and popularity.