“Tirzepatide for Obesity Treatment and Diabetes Prevention”, Ania M. Jastreboff, Carel W. le Roux, Adam Stefanski, Louis J. Aronne, Bruno Halpern, Sean Wharton, John P. H. Wilding, Leigh Perreault, Shuyu Zhang, Ramakrishna Battula, Mathijs C. Bunck, Nadia N. Ahmad, Irina Jouravskaya2024-11-13 (; similar)⁠:

Background: Obesity is a chronic disease and a causal precursor to myriad other conditions, including type 2 diabetes. In an earlier analysis of the SURMOUNT-1 trial, tirzepatide was shown to provide substantial and sustained reductions in body weight in persons with obesity over a 72-week period.

Here, we report the 3-year safety outcomes with tirzepatide and its efficacy in reducing weight and delaying progression to type 2 diabetes in persons with both obesity and prediabetes.

Method: We performed a phase 3, double-blind, randomized, controlled trial in which 2,539 participants with obesity, of whom 1,032 also had prediabetes, were assigned in a 1:1:1:1 ratio to receive tirzepatide at an once-weekly dose of 5 mg, 10 mg, or 15 mg, or placebo. The current analysis involved the participants with both obesity and prediabetes, who received their assigned dose of tirzepatide or placebo for a total of 176 weeks, followed by a 17-week off-treatment period. The 3 key secondary endpoints, which were controlled for false positives, were the % change in body weight from baseline to week 176 and onset of type 2 diabetes during the 176-week and 193-week periods.

Results: At 176 weeks, the mean % change in body weight among the participants who received tirzepatide was −12.3% with the 5-mg dose, −18.7% with the 10-mg dose, and −19.7% with the 15-mg dose, as compared with −1.3% among those who received placebo (p < 0.001 for all comparisons with placebo).

Fewer participants received a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in the tirzepatide groups than in the placebo group (1.3% vs. 13.3%; hazard ratio, 0.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.0–0.1; p < 0.001). After 17 weeks off treatment or placebo, 2.4% of the participants who received tirzepatide and 13.7% of those who received placebo had type 2 diabetes (hazard ratio, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.1–0.2; p < 0.001).

Other than COVID-19, the most common adverse events were gastrointestinal, most of which were mild to moderate in severity and occurred primarily during the dose-escalation period in the first 20 weeks of the trial. No new safety signals were identified.

Conclusion: 3 years of treatment with tirzepatide in persons with obesity and prediabetes resulted in substantial and sustained weight reduction and a markedly lower risk of progression to type 2 diabetes than that with placebo.

(Funded by Eli Lilly; SURMOUNT-1 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04184622.)

Figure 1: Effect of Once-Weekly Tirzepatide on Body Weight and Progression to Type 2 Diabetes. Panel A shows the percent change in body weight from baseline to week 176, as derived from an analysis of covariance model for the treatment-regimen estimand and from a mixed-model-for-repeated-measures analysis for the efficacy estimand. The change in body weight in the 5-mg tirzepatide group was a prespecified end point but not a key secondary end point that was controlled for false-positive error. Panel B shows the percent change in body weight according to weeks since randomization, derived from a mixed-model-for-repeated-measures analysis in the safety analysis population (which included the same patients as those in the intention-to-treat population). The shaded gray area represents the 17-week off-treatment follow-up period. Only participants who had weight measured at both weeks 176 and 193 were included in this analysis. In Panel A & B, least-squares mean changes are presented, and the 𝙸 bars indicate 95% confidence intervals. Panel C shows Kaplan-Meier estimates of the percentage of participants in the safety analysis population who received a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes during the course of the trial (during the 176-week treatment period and during the 17-week off-treatment period).