US GDP by Year Compared to Recessions and Events
The Strange Ups and Downs of the U.S. Economy Since 1929
U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) by year is a good overview of economic growth in the United States. The table below presents the nation's GDP for each year since 1929 compared to major economic events.
The table begins with the stock market crash of 1929 and goes through the subsequent Great Depression. It includes five wars and several serious recessions. These extreme swings in the business cycle put today's economic climate in perspective. You can compare the GDP by year to fiscal and monetary policies to get a complete picture of what works and what doesn't in the U.S. economy.
Key Takeaways
- The GDP growth rate shows whether the country’s economy is flourishing or taking a dive.
- A negative growth rate indicates contraction.
- Real GDP takes into account inflation, so you can compare the GDP of different years.
- Nominal GDP reflects the prices for the year in which the goods were produced.
Types of GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis compiles the data. Keep in mind, when reviewing this history, that the BEA measures GDP in two ways: nominal GDP and real GDP.
Nominal GDP
Nominal GDP is the total U.S. economic output for that year. The BEA also calls it the "current-dollar GDP" since it's measured as a dollar amount and it doesn't take factors like inflation into account.1 Experts use nominal GDP to compare economic output to U.S. debt, which is also measured in dollars without adjusting for inflation. The article "National Debt by Year" shows the debt-to-GDP ratio since 1929.
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Real GDP
Real GDP accounts for inflation, making comparisons to previous years more accurate.1 The BEA uses it to calculate the GDP growth rate and GDP per capita. Real GDP is important because without canceling out the effects of inflation, the GDP could appear to grow, when really all that's happened is an increase in prices.
To calculate real GDP, the BEA starts with a reference year. The current base year is 2012.2 You'll notice that nominal and real GDP are the same in 2012. Real GDP shows what GDP would have been in each year if it were priced in 2012 dollars. That's how it removes the effect of inflation.
The current base year for GDP calculations is 2012. The period from which the weights for a measurement series are derived. The national income and product accounts (NIPAs) currently use the year 2000 as the base period. Rebasing changes the reference year (or base year) for the real (chained dollar and quantity index) estimates and price indexes and expresses GDP and other NIPA aggregates in terms of the prices of one year. The effect of rebasing is to produce chained-dollar estimates that are closer to additive for periods near the new base year.
Generally, the year selected as the reference year is the latest year that will not be revised until the next comprehensive update. For the 2018 comprehensive update, real estimates were rebased from chained (2005) dollars to chained (2012) dollars.
U.S. GDP by Year Since 1929 Compared to Major Events
The following chart tracks both nominal and real GDP since 1929.3 4 5 Some historical events and government policies are added for context.
Year | Nominal GDP (trillions) | Real GDP (trillions) | GDP Growth Rate | Events Affecting GDP |
1929 | $0.105 | $1.109 | NA | Depression began |
1930 | $0.092 | $1.015 | -8.5% | Smoot-Hawley |
1931 | $0.077 | $0.950 | -6.4% | Dust Bowl |
1932 | $0.060 | $0.828 | -12.9% | Hoover tax hikes |
1933 | $0.057 | $0.817 | -1.2% | New Deal |
1934 | $0.067 | $0.906 | 10.8% | U.S. debt rose |
1935 | $0.074 | $0.986 | 8.9% | Social Security |
1936 | $0.085 | $1.113 | 12.9% | FDR tax hikes |
1937 | $0.093 | $1.170 | 5.1% | Depression returned |
1938 | $0.087 | $1.132 | -3.3% | Depression ended |
1939 | $0.093 | $1.222 | 8.0% | WWII, Dust Bowl ended |
1940 | $0.103 | $1.330 | 8.8% | Defense increased |
1941 | $0.129 | $1.566 | 17.7% | Pearl Harbor |
1942 | $0.166 | $1.862 | 18.9% | |
1943 | $0.203 | $2.178 | 17.0% | Defense spending tripled |
1944 | $0.224 | $2.352 | 8.0% | Bretton Woods |
1945 | $0.228 | $2.329 | -1.0% | WWII ended, recession |
1946 | $0.228 | $2.058 | -11.6% | Truman budget cuts |
1947 | $0.250 | $2.035 | -1.1% | Cold War began |
1948 | $0.275 | $2.119 | 4.1% | Recession |
1949 | $0.273 | $2.107 | -0.6% | NATO, Fair Deal |
1950 | $0.300 | $2.290 | 8.7% | Korean War |
1951 | $0.347 | $2.474 | 8.0% | |
1952 | $0.367 | $2.575 | 4.1% | |
1953 | $0.389 | $2.696 | 4.7% | War ended, recession |
1954 | $0.391 | $2.680 | -0.6% | Dow returned to 1929 high |
1955 | $0.426 | $2.871 | 7.1% | |
1956 | $0.449 | $2.932 | 2.1% | |
1957 | $0.474 | $2.994 | 2.1% | Recession |
1958 | $0.481 | $2.972 | -0.7% | Recession ended |
1959 | $0.522 | $3.178 | 6.9% | Fed raised rates |
1960 | $0.542 | $3.260 | 2.6% | Recession |
1961 | $0.562 | $3.344 | 2.6% | JFK ended recession |
1962 | $0.604 | $3.548 | 6.1% | |
1963 | $0.638 | $3.703 | 4.4% | |
1964 | $0.685 | $3.916 | 5.8% | LBJ's Medicare, Medicaid |
1965 | $0.742 | $4.171 | 6.5% | |
1966 | $0.813 | $4.446 | 6.6% | Vietnam War |
1967 | $0.860 | $4.568 | 2.7% | |
1968 | $0.941 | $4.792 | 4.9% | Moon landing |
1969 | $1.018 | $4.942 | 3.1% | Nixon took office |
1970 | $1.073 | $4.951 | 0.2% | Recession |
1971 | $1.165 | $5.114 | 3.3% | Wage-price controls |
1972 | $1.279 | $5.383 | 5.3% | Stagflation |
1973 | $1.425 | $5.687 | 5.6% | End of gold standard |
1974 | $1.545 | $5.657 | -0.5% | Watergate |
1975 | $1.685 | $5.645 | -0.2% | Recession ended |
1976 | $1.873 | $5.949 | 5.4% | Fed lowered rates |
1977 | $2.082 | $6.224 | 4.6% | |
1978 | $2.352 | $6.569 | 5.5% | Fed's 20% rate hike ended inflation |
1979 | $2.627 | $6.777 | 3.2% | Recession |
1980 | $2.857 | $6.759 | -0.3% | |
1981 | $3.207 | $6.931 | 2.5% | Reagan tax cuts |
1982 | $3.344 | $6.806 | -1.8% | Recession ended |
1983 | $3.634 | $7.118 | 4.6% | Tax hike and defense spending |
1984 | $4.038 | $7.633 | 7.2% | |
1985 | $4.339 | $7.951 | 4.2% | |
1986 | $4.580 | $8.226 | 3.5% | Tax cut |
1987 | $4.855 | $8.511 | 3.5% | Black Monday |
1988 | $5.236 | $8.867 | 4.2% | Fed raised rates |
1989 | $5.642 | $9.192 | 3.7% | S&L Crisis |
1990 | $5.963 | $9.366 | 1.9% | Recession |
1991 | $6.158 | $9.355 | -0.1% | |
1992 | $6.520 | $9.685 | 3.5% | NAFTA drafted |
1993 | $6.859 | $9.952 | 2.8% | Balanced Budget Act |
1994 | $7.287 | $10.352 | 4.0% | |
1995 | $7.640 | $10.630 | 2.7% | Fed raised rates |
1996 | $8.073 | $11.031 | 3.8% | Welfare reform |
1997 | $8.578 | $11.522 | 4.4% | |
1998 | $9.063 | $12.038 | 4.5% | LTCM crisis |
1999 | $9.631 | $12.611 | 4.8% | Repeal of Glass-Steagall |
2000 | $10.252 | $13.131 | 4.1% | Tech bubble burst |
2001 | $10.582 | $13.262 | 1.0% | 9/11 attacks |
2002 | $10.936 | $13.493 | 1.7% | War on Terror |
2003 | $11.458 | $13.879 | 2.9% | Iraq War, JGTRRA |
2004 | $12.214 | $14.406 | 3.8% | |
2005 | $13.037 | $14.913 | 3.5% | Katrina, Bankruptcy Act |
2006 | $13.815 | $15.338 | 2.9% | Fed raised rates |
2007 | $14.452 | $15.626 | 1.9% | Bank crisis |
2008 | $14.713 | $15.605 | -0.1% | Financial Crisis |
2009 | $14.449 | $15.209 | -2.5% | Stimulus Act |
2010 | $14.992 | $15.599 | 2.6% | ACA, Dodd-Frank |
2011 | $15.543 | $15.841 | 1.6% | Japan earthquake |
2012 | $16.197 | $16.197 | 2.2% | Fiscal cliff |
2013 | $16.785 | $16.495 | 1.8% | Sequestration |
2014 | $17.527 | $16.912 | 2.5% | QE ends |
2015 | $18.225 | $17.404 | 2.9% | TPP, Iran deal |
2016 | $18.715 | $17.689 | 1.6% | Presidential race |
2017 | $19.519 | $18.108 | 2.4% | Trump Tax Act |
2018 | $20.580 | $18.638 | 2.9% | Deficit spending |
2019 | $21,429 | $19,073 | 2.3% | Trade war |
More Economic History
While GDP is a closely watched economic indicator, digging into more economic data can give greater context to GDP figures. Here's a list of indicators and historical events that closely relate to the U.S. economy: