𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 26Is Pearl really claiming to have coined the term 'Bayesian inference' in the 1980s? Because that seems obviously wrong google.com/search?q=%22Ba… (eg _Bayesian Inference_, Wu 1966 - when it's the title of a whole book on the topic, generally suggests it's not new...)
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 14GAN forward passes are like 0.1s. This says more about diffusion models than about AI, really.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 28That would be a reasonable analogy only if, among many other things, anyone had ever, even once, seen an impressive Cyc demo (of anything at all).
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 28The anti-Hans people were just as earnestly asseverating a few weeks ago that Hans *of course* was only cheating on a few crucial moves, and that's why the analyses could prove little; and now it's "100% agreement"?
My conclusion: their arguments are all bullshit.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 23Some playing with textual-inversion: can we generate dropcaps, eg yinit? Well, we're not far from it! SD 1.4 is very weak on text but inversion still captures the yinit style. I couldn't get clear sharp images, but I suspect that was the very crummy jaggy yinit samples I used. pic.twitter.com/yI7kc1T9DV
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernOct 3Why do you think that is necessary? Fashion doesn't have copyright on designs, much less 'style' en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fashion_d…
What a nightmare it would be if someone owned 'styles' like 'anime', which is exactly where rentseeking would take such proposals...
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 30Ha, I was right back in 2020! (again) You 𝘤𝘢𝘯 do creative long-form writing with GPT-3-style models using recursive expansion of hierarchical summaries→full sections!
"Sampling can show the presence of knowledge, but not the absence..." twitter.com/korymath/statu…
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 20I didn't even watch _Terminator_ until like 3 years ago.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 17The best part is, the Tay thing may not have been real and just a boring trivially-disabled 'echo' function like 95% of chatbots & IRC bots have, a scandal manufactured by social media & selective screenshots - while this is both real & interesting as a semantic attack.
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 22Incidentally, if you're curious about what is actually optimal given the cap+finite-duration, it yields some strikingly non-KC-20% betting behavior due to aggression+'glide in' behavior: gwern.net/Coin-flip
Some visualizations of games using the optimal strategy: pic.twitter.com/DzHxZcxhEp
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernOct 1If there's one thing we should've learned by now, it's that everyone sounds dumb in their texts, which is why Warzel conspicuously fails to mention any comparisons, merely comparing against some imaginary 'actually-impressive' moving-goalpost set of texts.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 19Ah yes, the famously healthy slim non-obese Mexican population/cuisine. Sure is plausible it's... [checks notes] protective rather than harmful effects in obese mothers but mostly only some subgroups, w/no effects in 'foreign-born' of all ethnicities or general fast food effects?
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernSep 20This sounds more like a comment on how incredibly crippled and impoverished smartphone UI/designs are. (A *second* calculator - just to display history? - needs to be *an entire bespoke paid app*?!)
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernOct 5Another subtle cognitive distortion I've been noticing: date intervals or durations. It seems like people are increasingly losing their grip on intuitive temporal durations, thinking in a Perpetual Now, and are increasingly surprised when I tuck in an explicit 'X years ago'.
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