As we know the unfortunate that nothing lasts forever...I guess ten years maybe at best? Then all will say we were the revolutionaries
How long do you think this may last
As we know the unfortunate that nothing lasts forever...I guess ten years maybe at best? Then all will say we were the revolutionaries
[23 Points] throwaxanny:
[10 Points] BrunoTheBigBlackMan:
Until they scrutinize every single of the tens of thousands of packs that go through sort facilities a day, this will never end. The USPS also will need a warrant to enter that pack so that will take a while to get the judge to OK it and keep it going and there's not enough money in the budget to employ more staff to just scrutinize packs there will be a backup of packs that will grow every single day, causing shipping delays on an already slow postal system and postal workers do not give a shit what you're sending only postmasters, inspectors and head USPS officials care about what you're shipping the guy getting paid to walk around in the sun or drive a van with your pack in it doesn't care what he's delivering. So unless they allow non-warranted searches in USPS mail and employee thousands more staff this will never end.
[9 Points] Vendor_BBMC:
As we know the unfortunate that nothing lasts forever...I guess ten years maybe at best? Then all will say we were the revolutionaries
Sites like reddit fulfil a need, so they will always be around. But you're probably talking about the "Silk Road model", right?
Tor
Bitcoin
escrow
Vendor and user feedback
It will last until something better comes along. Individual things like the currency or subnet we use will change as technological things always do.
I remember when napster was taken down. It was already too late, I knew I was never going to pay for music again. I only traded on SilkRoad for about 7 weeks before the FBI closed it, but as with napster it was too late.
Personally, I think we are right at the start of something. Once you've used a DNM there's no going back, which is why DNMs will take over the vast majority of drug dealing.
The drug economy, if it were a country, would have the second-highest GDP. Lets do some maths
there are 15.8 million bitcoins in existance, worth $600 each. Bitcoin's market cap is less than $10 billion.
Estimates vary greatly, but a recent estimate put the annual spend on DNMs to be about $300 million. Would this equal the spending of the second-richest country on earth? Of course not. It wouldn't even buy the houses in my street, let alone a town or a country.
I hope this shows what an early stage we are at. We ARE pioneers. So why aren't we doing pioneering things? There are plenty of problems with that silkroad model, particularly how easy it is to falsify feedback, and the problem of trustworthiness.
The very encryption which keeps us safe from arrest also allows anybody to rip off anybody else, and get away with it
the second problem is that of marketing, for drugs, vendors, and marketplaces. Its incredibly unsophisticated, entirely text-based, and dependent on word-of-mouth and reviews on obscure drug forums.
Since DPR was arrested, there hasn't been a single significant development. No innovation, people stuck in an outdated PGP mindset trying to prevent DNMs from expanding by keeping them secret, doing LE's job for them.
It won't always be this grey and depressing. One day, DNMs will become part of our shared culture. We will have a second summer of love, and everything will go from black & white to colour. I hope I'm still alive to see it https://youtu.be/Ypu6Cpy1xXM
[3 Points] disk1997:
As long is there is the internet there will be the dnm.
[3 Points] tachyonflux:
I predict it may take a serious hit in the next 10-30 years with the proliferation of robotics, package inspection could potential be wide spead and completely automated. We'll adapt though; if we can fool humans, we can definitely fool machines.
[2 Points] brzaz:
This is not gonna last long at all, they are already using a type of scanner that just cant be fooled. It can even read like text on pages 10 pages deep and its getting better. All without opening the package.
Better hit it hard while you can...
[1 Points] None:
[deleted]
[1 Points] throwawayk5zq47j6wd3:
Everyone thinks this will last forever but the DNMs have never been so popular and mainstream.
It could go on if the normal pleb continues to not learn about the DNMs. Another possiblity is the FBI/CIA/Local LE pressured by soccer moms and "concerned citizens" to do something about drugs getting shipped in the mail.
Doubt it but it's crazy that so many people are so optimistic, people go to jail for years for charges that include drugs, remember that.
People been sending drugs in the mail since the 90s and most likely before then too. The markets may not last forever but shipping drugs will go on